Result
2:3
07/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 3
- Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (326/433) | 79% (360/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (326/433) | 79% (360/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 38% (31/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (89/141) | 59% (87/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.29 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Melland H. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
- 38', Holme F. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
- 38', Johannsson D. 🟨,
- 43', Aukland P. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Leach S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 1, Lonebu K. ⚽, Melland H. (A),
- 59', Skogvold H. ↓, Laghzaoui S. ↑,
- 59', Sorlokk S. ↓, Ghebreyohannes F. ↑,
- 64', Charles U. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
- 64', Christensen M. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
- 66', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, Shein R. R. ⚽, Laghzaoui S. (A),
- 76', Melland H. ↓, Osenbroch E. ↑,
- 76', Johannsson D. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
- 85', Shein R. R. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 85', Rafn S. ↓, Norbye J. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Granaas E. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
- 89', Syversen U. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
- 90+1', Borsheim M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hammer H. 🟨,
- 90+6', Granaas E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aalesunds
38.1% | Draw
26.2% | Fredrikstad
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aalesunds - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.86) |
3.6 ↓
(3.72) |
2.65 ↑
(2.28) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aalesunds - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Fredrikstad (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 50%). Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Aalesunds: Ngongo P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Kvile S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Aalesunds: Kristensen M.
(Injury)
Seehusen J.
(Injury)
Syversen U.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fredrikstad: Faraas B.
(Injury)
Nysveen J.
(Injury)
Owusu S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aalesunds won against Fredrikstad?
Aalesunds has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Aalesunds?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalesunds - Fredrikstad were as follows:
22.02.2026
Aalesunds
-
Fredrikstad
2:3
Latest results of Aalesunds
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Viking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Valerenga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fredrikstad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Molde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brann | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | HamKam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Start | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
