Result
0:1
06/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 20
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/419) | 86% (410/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/419) | 86% (410/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (86/112) | 75% (87/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Bonde M. 🟨,
- 42', Kubel M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Egerton E. ↓, Riisgaard L. ↑,
- 54', Moller V. 🟨,
- 64', Grube F. ↓, Baekgard S. ↑,
- 68', Hapnes A. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
- 68', Kubel M. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 68', Nielsen M. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
- 73', Kaastrup M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 73', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
- 79', Callo L. 🟨,
- 88', Helenius N. 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Holvad A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Thorsen J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aalborg BK
40.2% | Draw
26.6% | Aarhus Fremad
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.16) |
3.51 ↑
(3.49) |
2.83 ↓
(3.01) |
7.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aalborg BK will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In recent matches, Aalborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aarhus Fremad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Aalborg has had a series of home games.
- Aalborg might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Aarhus Fremad?
Aalborg BK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Aalborg BK?
Aarhus Fremad has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
29.08.2025
Aarhus Fremad
-
Aalborg BK
5:1
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 41 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF ✔ | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 30:23 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | Esbjerg ✔ | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Hillerod ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 5 | Horsens | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | B.93 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 27 |
| 9 | Aalborg | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro ✔ | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Koge ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:38 | -15 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21:43 | -22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hvidovre IF is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hobro is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Koge is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
