Result
5:1
29/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 8
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/454) | 91% (480/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/454) | 91% (480/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (44/64) | 78% (123/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -3.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Nissen E. ⚽, de Claville Berthelsen M. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Kubel M. ⚽, Kaastrup M. (A),
- 35', 3 - 0, Kaastrup M. ⚽, Kubel M. (A),
- 40', 4 - 0, de Claville Berthelsen M. ⚽, Kirchheiner M. (A),
- 43', Nissen E. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hansen K. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
- 46', Helenius N. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
- 47', Grube F. 🟨,
- 62', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Egerton E. ↑,
- 62', de Claville Berthelsen M. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
- 62', Kaastrup M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 66', Moller V. 🟨,
- 67', Arnorsson N. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 68', 5 - 0, Kubel M. ⚽, Andersen K. (A),
- 72', Holvad A. 🟨,
- 74', Jasson A. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
- 77', 5 - 1, Ross O. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
- 85', John K. ↓, Skovgaard B. ↑,
- 87', Kubel M. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarhus Fremad
36.4% | Draw
25.4% | Aalborg BK
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.36) |
3.65 ↑
(3.62) |
2.44 ↓
(2.73) |
7.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK?
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Aalborg BK?
Aarhus Fremad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Aarhus Fremad?
Aalborg BK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK were as follows:
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyngby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Horsens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | B.93 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Koge | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Hobro | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
