Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 14
- Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/515) | 76% (243/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (430/515) | 76% (243/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (12/50) | 52% (40/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/155) | 56% (62/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Stagaard T. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
- 38', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Hansen M. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
- 60', Gyamfi R. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 65', Stagaard T. 🟨,
- 67', Baekgard S. ↓, Egerton E. ↑,
- 67', Nissen E. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 76', Maden M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 77', Lausen A. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
- 77', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 88', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 88', Agnarsson M. ↓, Ostergaard J. ↑,
- 90', Vigen L. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarhus Fremad
49.4% | Draw
24.8% | Esbjerg
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.77 ↓
(3.8) |
3.62 ↓
(3.7) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Esbjerg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aarhus Fremad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Esbjerg?
Aarhus Fremad has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Aarhus Fremad?
Esbjerg has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg were as follows:
28.09.2025
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
1:1
18.05.2024
Aarhus Fremad
-
Esbjerg
2:0
26.04.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
0:1
24.03.2024
Esbjerg
-
Aarhus Fremad
2:2
14.10.2023
Aarhus Fremad
-
Esbjerg
2:4
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
