Lyngby BK vs Aarhus Fremad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 13
  • Referee: Aagerup S. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.38
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
84% (454/541)83% (383/462)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.38
xG on target (xGOT)
3.441.36
Total shots
226
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
558
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
158
Passes
84% (454/541)83% (383/462)
Long passes
46% (16/35)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
76% (173/228)59% (35/59)
Crosses
33% (9/27)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.730.24
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
815
Tackles
87% (13/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
2047
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.363.44
Goals prevented
-1.641.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kaastrup M. , Kubel M. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Nissen E. (Own goal),
  • 45+2', Mortensen G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Egerton E. , Kirchheiner M. ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Agnarsson M. , Kaastrup M. (A),
  • 60', 1 - 3, Kubel M. , Andersen K. (A),
  • 61', Gytkjaer F. , Thorvaldsson I. ,
  • 61', Fraulo G. , Colyn S. ,
  • 62', Kubel M. , Holvad A. ,
  • 62', Kaastrup M. , Lunding K. ,
  • 65', Storm T. 🟨,
  • 66', Callo L. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 3, Dani , Thorvaldsson I. (A),
  • 72', Sandgrav L. , Blume B. ,
  • 73', Cornelius J. , Steindorsson W. ,
  • 76', Grube F. , Hjaltason O. ,
  • 80', Kirchheiner M. , de Claville Berthelsen M. ,
  • 88', Lunding K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Nissen E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Dani ,
  • 90+6', Dani , Kaarsbo M. ,

Chances of winning


Lyngby BK
38.5%
Draw
26.2%
Aarhus Fremad
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 25.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 25.6% 29.2%

Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.09)
3.74
(3.67)
2.65
(3.21)
3.3%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad?
  • Users Predictions: Lyngby BK will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyngby BK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • Lyngby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aarhus Fremad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aarhus Fremad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lyngby is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lyngby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Lyngby BK 0:2
    Latest results of Lyngby BK
    06.10.2025 Hvidovre - Lyngby BK 2:2
    27.09.2025 Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK 2:1
    24.09.2025 Lyngby BK - Copenhagen 0:2
    21.09.2025 Lyngby BK - HB Køge 4:0
    11.09.2025 Hobro - Lyngby BK 1:4
    Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby ✔ 1895437:201732
    2Hillerod ✔ 1895427:23432
    3Horsens1885524:15929
    4Hvidovre IF1878325:21429
    5Esbjerg1892726:25129
    6Aalborg1875629:25426
    7Kolding IF1875624:20426
    8B.931864822:30-822
    9Aarhus Fremad1848627:25220
    10Hobro1846818:28-1018
    11Koge18531022:34-1218
    12Middelfart ✔ 18261018:33-1512

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
    Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
    Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )