Result
3:3
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 13
- Referee: Aagerup S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/541) | 83% (383/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/541) | 83% (383/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (173/228) | 59% (35/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 3.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Kaastrup M. ⚽, Kubel M. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Nissen E. (Own goal),
- 45+2', Mortensen G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Egerton E. ↓, Kirchheiner M. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Agnarsson M. ⚽, Kaastrup M. (A),
- 60', 1 - 3, Kubel M. ⚽, Andersen K. (A),
- 61', Gytkjaer F. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
- 61', Fraulo G. ↓, Colyn S. ↑,
- 62', Kubel M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 62', Kaastrup M. ↓, Lunding K. ↑,
- 65', Storm T. 🟨,
- 66', Callo L. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 3, Dani ⚽, Thorvaldsson I. (A),
- 72', Sandgrav L. ↓, Blume B. ↑,
- 73', Cornelius J. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
- 76', Grube F. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
- 80', Kirchheiner M. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
- 88', Lunding K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Nissen E. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Dani ⚽,
- 90+6', Dani ↓, Kaarsbo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyngby BK
38.5% | Draw
26.2% | Aarhus Fremad
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyngby BK's form might have worsened.Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyngby BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.09) |
3.74 ↑
(3.67) |
2.65 ↓
(3.21) |
3.3%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad?
Users Predictions:
Lyngby BK will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyngby BK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Lyngby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Aarhus Fremad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aarhus Fremad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyngby is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lyngby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyngby BK won against Aarhus Fremad?
Lyngby BK has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Lyngby BK?
Aarhus Fremad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
02.08.2025
Aarhus Fremad
-
Lyngby BK
0:2
Latest results of Lyngby BK
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
