Tønder vs Aarhus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
27:26
16/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Division - Round 11

Chances of winning


Tønder
29.5%
Draw
10%
Aarhus
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 10.5% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 10.1% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tønder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Tønder - Aarhus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.76)
    9.23
    (8.65)
    1.52
    (1.6)
    8.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tønder won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tønder have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aarhus is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Aarhus might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Aarhus will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tønder won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 158:189. (average 26.3:31.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tønder won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 83:93. (average 27.7:31).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tønder - Aarhus were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Tønder - Aarhus 23:25
    08.12.2024 Aarhus - Tønder 32:20
    Latest results of Tønder
    07.11.2025 Skive FH - Tønder 30:28
    26.10.2025 Tønder - Give 35:28
    18.10.2025 KIF Kolding - Tønder 34:25
    10.10.2025 Tønder - Odder HB 34:29
    05.10.2025 HC København - Tønder 32:32
    Latest results of Aarhus
    08.11.2025 Aarhus - Rækker Mølle 37:35
    24.10.2025 Lemvig-Thyborøn - Aarhus 29:33
    17.10.2025 Aarhus - Midtjylland 32:26
    10.10.2025 Norddjurs - Aarhus 30:35
    04.10.2025 TIK Taastrup - Aarhus 26:32
    Danish 1 Division Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Skive231913792:66039
    2Kolding231805730:65236
    3Aarhus Handbold231805708:63336
    4Sydhavsoerne231616733:68933
    5Tonder231517738:65331
    6Midtjylland231328696:67928
    7Lemvig2211110685:67823
    8Odder238213690:73018
    9Norddjurs238114740:76117
    10Raekker Molle227114608:67215
    11Vendsyssel227114606:64415
    12HC Kobenhavn224315627:68711
    13Tik Taastrup233317638:7439
    14Give232318618:7287

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