Aaron Hill vs Mark Allen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
23/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Northern Ireland Open - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4

Chances of winning


Aaron Hill
33.5%
Mark Allen
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 63.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aaron Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Mark Allen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aaron Hill than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Allen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Aaron Hill - Mark Allen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.67)

    1.41
    (1.4)
    7.9%
    (8.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hill is ranked World Ranking: 47. Allen is ranked World Ranking: 8.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Allen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Allen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hill won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aaron Hill - Mark Allen were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Aaron Hill - Mark Allen 2:6
    24.09.2024 Aaron Hill - Mark Allen 1:4
    Latest results of Aaron Hill
    21.10.2025 Barry Hawkins - Aaron Hill 3:4
    20.10.2025 Lei Peifan - Aaron Hill 1:4
    15.10.2025 Aaron Hill - Ian Burns 2:4
    10.10.2025 Liam Pullen - Aaron Hill 5:1
    09.10.2025 Mark Davis - Aaron Hill 1:5
    Latest results of Mark Allen
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Wilson K.Lines O.4 : 3
    2Selt M.Day R.2 : 4
    3Wu Y.Donaldson S.4 : 3
    4Gilbert D.He G.2 : 4
    5O'Connor J.Un-Nooh T.3 : 4
    6Zhang A.Davis M.1 : 4
    7Lisowski J.Tahir H.4 : 0
    8Selby M.Burns I.4 : 1
    9Williams M.Zehuang L. (WO.)
    10Yuan S.Wells D.4 : 1
    11Wakelin C.Yuhao L.4 : 1
    12Ford T. (WO.)Fu M.
    13Bingham S.Robertson J.2 : 4
    14Carter A.Moody S.4 : 3
    15Zhou Y.Emery D.4 : 2
    16Robertson N.Grace D.0 : 4
    17Trump J.McGill A.4 : 2
    18Page J.Hallworth S.4 : 0
    19Wilson G.Bingyu C.4 : 3
    20Jones JakO'Donnell M.3 : 4
    21Maguire S.Brecel L.4 : 1
    22Si JiahuiCheung K. W.4 : 0
    23Pang J.Williams R.4 : 1
    24Higgins J.Heathcote L.4 : 0
    25Hawkins B.Surety Z.4 : 0
    26Peifan L.Hill A.1 : 4
    27Allen M.Milkins R.4 : 3
    28Vafaei H.Woollaston B.2 : 4
    29Slessor E.Fan Z.4 : 3
    30Murphy S.Lilley D.4 : 0
    31Saengkham N.Hugill A.2 : 4
    32Zhao X.Brown J.0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Wilson K.Day R.4 : 1
    2Wu Y.He G.2 : 4
    3Un-Nooh T.Davis M.4 : 1
    4Lisowski J.Selby M.4 : 2
    5Zehuang L.Yuan S.2 : 4
    6Wakelin C.Ford T.1 : 4
    7Robertson J.Carter A.3 : 4
    8Zhou Y.Grace D.4 : 2
    9Trump J.Page J.4 : 2
    10Wilson G.O'Donnell M.4 : 2
    11Maguire S.Si Jiahui0 : 4
    12Pang J.Higgins J.3 : 4
    13Hawkins B.Hill A.3 : 4
    14Allen M.Woollaston B.4 : 3
    15Slessor E.Murphy S.2 : 4
    16Hugill A.Brown J.0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Wilson K.He G.4 : 2
    2Un-Nooh T.Lisowski J.2 : 4
    3Yuan S.Ford T.2 : 4
    4Carter A.Zhou Y. (WO.)
    5Trump J.Wilson G.4 : 1
    6Si JiahuiHiggins J.1 : 4
    7Hill A.Allen M.1 : 4
    8Murphy S.Brown J.2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Wilson K.Lisowski J.3 : 5
    2Ford T.Zhou Y.4 : 5
    3Trump J.Higgins J.5 : 2
    4Allen M.Brown J.5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Lisowski J.Zhou Y.6 : 1
    2Trump J.Allen M.6 : 3

    Final
    1Lisowski J.Trump J.9 : 8