Result
3:4
16/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kaua Jesus ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Bruno Leite ⚽,
- 14', Raphael 🟨,
- 32', Lucas Justen 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Kelvi Gomes (Own goal),
- 39', Patric 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 2, Mirandinha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Isaque ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
- 46', Patric ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
- 50', Ronaldy 🟨,
- 58', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 58', 3 - 2, Alisson Taddei ⚽,
- 59', 🟨,
- 59', Kaua Jesus ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 62', 3 - 3, Raphael ⚽,
- 67', Mirandinha ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
- 67', Caio Mello ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 67', Rodolfo Filemon ↓, Jenison ↑,
- 67', Rafael Oller ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
- 73', 3 - 4, Diego Torres ⚽,
- 83', Emerson 🟨,
- 84', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
- 84', Diego Torres ↓, Marcio Silva ↑,
- 88', Dentinho 🟨,
- 89', Bruno Leite 🟨,
- 90', Bruno Leite ↓, Randerson ↑,
Chances of winning
ABC
42.3% | Draw
31% | Guarani
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1%)
ABC - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.01) |
2.96 ↓
(3.18) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
9.1%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for ABC - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ABC (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- ABC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, ABC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has ABC won against Guarani?
ABC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against ABC?
Guarani has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ABC - Guarani were as follows:
19.11.2023
Guarani
-
ABC
2:3
19.07.2023
ABC
-
Guarani
0:1
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
