Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Rafael Silva (Pen),
- 27', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
- 29', Bruno Leite 🟨,
- 31', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 37', Rafael Silva ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
- 37', Manoel 🟨,
- 45+1', Ezequiel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ezequiel ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
- 46', Bruno Leite ↓, Wallyson ↑,
- 63', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 69', Joao Pedro ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 71', Rickson ↓, Fabricio Dias ↑,
- 72', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
- 74', Manoel ↓, Jonatha Carlos ↑,
- 82', Ian 🟨,
- 85', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Jonatha Carlos ⚽,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Ytalo ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
39.3% | Draw
32.2% | ABC
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Tombense - ABC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2) |
2.81 ↓
(3.25) |
3.17 ↓
(3.45) |
10.6%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).
- Tombense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ABC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tombense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against ABC?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ABC won against Tombense?
ABC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - ABC were as follows:
15.07.2024
ABC
-
Tombense
1:0
07.09.2023
Tombense
-
ABC
3:0
23.05.2023
ABC
-
Tombense
1:0
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
