Tombense vs ABC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Tombense - ABC
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
29
Yellow Cards
28
Red Cards
10
Total shots
817
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
512
Corner Kicks
29
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rafael Silva (Pen),
  • 27', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
  • 29', Bruno Leite 🟨,
  • 31', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 37', Rafael Silva , Julio Henrique ,
  • 37', Manoel 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ezequiel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ezequiel , Matheus Rocha ,
  • 46', Bruno Leite , Wallyson ,
  • 63', Carlos Eduardo , Juninho ,
  • 69', Joao Pedro , Jupi ,
  • 71', Rickson , Fabricio Dias ,
  • 72', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
  • 74', Manoel , Jonatha Carlos ,
  • 82', Ian 🟨,
  • 85', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Jonatha Carlos ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Ytalo ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
39.3%
Draw
32.2%
ABC
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 26.7% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.
  • ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Tombense - ABC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2)
    2.81
    (3.25)
    3.17
    (3.45)
    10.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Tombense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ABC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tombense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - ABC were as follows:
    15.07.2024 ABC - Tombense 1:0
    07.09.2023 Tombense - ABC 3:0
    23.05.2023 ABC - Tombense 1:0
    Latest results of Tombense
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    15.06.2025 Brusque - Tombense 0:0
    01.06.2025 Tombense - Anápolis 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ypiranga - Tombense 1:0
    Latest results of ABC
    05.07.2025 Confiança - ABC 1:1
    29.06.2025 ABC - Ypiranga 0:3
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    31.05.2025 ABC - Náutico Capibaribe 0:0
    24.05.2025 Londrina - ABC 1:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias14100424:17730
    2Ponte Preta1482414:12226
    3Londrina1475224:131126
    4Nautico1465315:6923
    5Sao Bernardo1465315:9623
    6Brusque1463515:13221
    7Ypiranga FC1463512:14-221
    8Floresta EC1455411:12-120
    9CSA1446416:15118
    10Ituano1445513:16-317
    11Botafogo PB1444616:14216
    12Guarani1444610:13-316
    13Maringa FC1437418:20-216
    14Anapolis1437411:14-316
    15ABC14210216:18-216
    16Figueirense1436516:16015
    17Itabaiana1442812:17-514
    18Confianca1435615:20-514
    19Retro143476:15-913
    20Tombense1426612:17-512

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