Abedallah Shelbayh vs Alexander Donski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 06:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
55
1st serve percentage
62%54%
1st serve points won
73% (46/63)65% (40/62)
2nd serve points won
47% (18/38)54% (28/52)
Break Points Saved
5/714/18
1st return points won
35% (22/62)27% (17/63)
2nd return points won
46% (24/52)53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
4/182/7
Winners
3034
Unforced errors
5665
Net points won
89% (8/9)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
63% (64/101)60% (68/114)
Return Points Won
40% (46/114)37% (37/101)
Total Points Won
51% (110/215)49% (105/215)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
07
Service games won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Abedallah Shelbayh
63.2%
Alexander Donski
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Donski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Abedallah Shelbayh - Alexander Donski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.4)

    2.54
    (2.7)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 300. Donski is ranked ATP: 704.
    • Recent form of Shelbayh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Donski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Shelbayh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Abedallah Shelbayh
    Latest results of Alexander Donski