Irapuato Freseros vs Abejas de León – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Mexican LNBP Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León
Result
61:78
29/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNBP

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Irapuato Freseros
48%
Abejas de León
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato Freseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Abejas de León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato Freseros than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato Freseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abejas de León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.73)

    1.78
    (1.91)
    8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Irapuato Freseros will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Recent performances by Irapuato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Abejas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 433:451. (average 86.6:90.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 279:265. (average 93:88.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León were as follows:
    28.07.2025 Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León 78:79
    02.09.2024 Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León 99:91
    01.09.2024 Irapuato Freseros - Abejas de León 102:95
    13.10.2023 Abejas de León - Irapuato Freseros 102:76
    12.10.2023 Abejas de León - Irapuato Freseros 84:78
    Latest results of Irapuato Freseros
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Soles (1)Bye
    2Panteras (8)Correcaminos (9)2 : 0
    3Fuerza Regia (4)Bye
    4Mineros (5)Santos (12)2 : 0
    5Astros (2)Bye
    6Halcones de Xalapa (7)El Calor de Cancun (10)2 : 1
    7Diablos Rojos (3)Bye
    8Dorados (6)Gambusinos (11)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Soles (1)Panteras (8)2 : 2
    2Fuerza Regia (4)Mineros (5)3 : 1
    3Astros (2)Halcones de Xalapa (7)3 : 0
    4Diablos Rojos (3)Dorados (6)2 : 2