Abel Forger vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Monastir 10 Men Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola
Result
0:2
15/03/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 10 (Tunisia), hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
37

Chances of winning


Abel Forger
47.6%
Luca Castagnola
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abel Forger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Abel Forger's performance.
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abel Forger than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abel Forger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Abel Forger - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.25)

    1.77
    (1.58)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Forger is ranked ATP: 955. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 717.
    • Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
    • Castagnola will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Castagnola to win the game is with odds 1.58.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Abel Forger
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Potenza L. (1)Forger A.1 : 2
    2Sakellaridis D.Donald M.1 : 2
    3Jadoun N.Mrva M.0 : 2
    4Fantini L.Tessa L. (7)1 : 2
    5Ouakaa A. (3)Cuenin S.2 : 1
    6Funk A.Pieleanu R. T.2 : 0
    7Gatoto A.Salle F.1 : 2
    8Misasi G.Castagnola L. (6)0 : 2
    9Wehnelt K. (8)Krolo F.2 : 0
    10Roe Flannelly J.Marino P.0 : 2
    11Paroulek T.Seghetti S.2 : 0
    12Deschamps T.Gadamauri B. (4)0 : 2
    13Giunta M. (5)Schold T.2 : 0
    14Schell N.Ilin A.2 : 0
    15Basile P.Rottoli L.1 : 2
    16Balciunas M.Wallin O. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Forger A.Donald M.2 : 0
    2Mrva M.Tessa L. (7)2 : 0
    3Ouakaa A. (3)Funk A.2 : 1
    4Salle F.Castagnola L. (6)0 : 2
    5Wehnelt K. (8)Marino P.0 : 2
    6Paroulek T.Gadamauri B. (4)2 : 0
    7Giunta M. (5)Schell N.0 : 2
    8Rottoli L.Wallin O. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Forger A.Mrva M.2 : 1
    2Ouakaa A. (3)Castagnola L. (6)0 : 2
    3Marino P.Paroulek T.0 : 2
    4Schell N.Rottoli L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Forger A.Castagnola L. (6)0 : 2
    2Paroulek T.Schell N.2 : 0

    Final
    1Castagnola L. (6)Paroulek T.2 : 1