Result
0:1
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, RedTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/260) | 79% (347/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/260) | 79% (347/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 27% (18/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Milne J. 🟨,
- 43', Devlin N. 🟥,
- 45+1', McCann L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yengi K. ↓, Molloy G. ↑,
- 54', Palaversa A. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 54', Milanovic N. ↓, Aouchiche A. ↑,
- 59', Milne J. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 60', Tait D. 🟨,
- 66', Miller C. 🟨,
- 68', Miller C. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
- 68', Arfield S. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 69', Cartwright H. 🟨,
- 72', Knoester M. 🟨,
- 74', Bain S. ↓, Hogarth N. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Wilson K. ⚽,
- 77', Clarkson L. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 81', MacIver R. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 81', Cartwright H. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
- 85', Keskinen T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Allan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
44.9% | Draw
26.5% | Falkirk
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Aberdeen - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.92) |
3.53 ↓
(3.74) |
3.25 ↓
(3.62) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Falkirk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Aberdeen will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Aberdeen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Falkirk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Falkirk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aberdeen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
Tobers K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Inactive)
Sneddon J.
(Inactive)
Stewart B.
(Injury)
Yeats F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Morris S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Falkirk: Ross E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Falkirk?
Aberdeen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Aberdeen?
Falkirk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Falkirk were as follows:
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
