Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/438) | 76% (262/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/438) | 76% (262/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/71) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (98/148) | 65% (61/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (23/26) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Aouchiche A. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilalovic K. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
- 58', Lobban D. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Lissah F. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 60', Nilsen S. 🟨,
- 61', Yeats F. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 73', Karlsson J. 🟨,
- 74', Lobban D. ↓, Devlin N. ↑,
- 74', Karlsson J. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 74', Wilson K. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 75', Stewart B. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 78', Ross E. 🟨,
- 80', Nisbet K. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
- 82', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 85', Miller C. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
- 85', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 88', Armstrong S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
42.2% | Draw
27.9% | Aberdeen
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkirk's performance.Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkirk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Falkirk - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.71) |
3.34 ↑
(3.2) |
3.11 ↑
(2.48) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 32% – 80.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Falkirk: MacIver R.
(Injury)
Neilson L.
(Ankle Injury)
Oliver G.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G.
(Knee Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Lobban D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Falkirk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Aberdeen?
Falkirk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Falkirk?
Aberdeen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Aberdeen were as follows:
31.08.2025
Aberdeen
-
Falkirk
0:1
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
