Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 30
- Referee: Scott C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (222/346) | 72% (334/466) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (222/346) | 72% (334/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 47% (40/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (68/126) | 68% (119/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Armstrong S. ↓, Cameron L. ↑,
- 61', Shinnie G. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
- 61', Lazetic M. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 69', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 69', Broggio B. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Nisbet K. ⚽,
- 75', Yeats F. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 80', Nisbet K. 🟨,
- 81', Miller C. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 81', Frame M. ↓, Jensen A. ↑,
- 84', Geiger D. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Stewart B. ⚽, Ross E. (A),
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
32.7% | Draw
28.7% | Falkirk
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aberdeen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aberdeen - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.51) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
2.45 ↓
(2.71) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Falkirk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Falkirk (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Falkirk (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Aberdeen has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Falkirk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Falkirk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Falkirk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Devlin N.
(Inactive)
Knoester M.
(Injury)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Falkirk: MacIver R.
(Inactive)
Oliver G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Parkinson B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Falkirk?
Aberdeen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Aberdeen?
Falkirk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Falkirk were as follows:
03.01.2026
Falkirk
-
Aberdeen
1:0
31.08.2025
Aberdeen
-
Falkirk
0:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
