Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
nigeriaNigeriaRed TV
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Raith TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Milne J. , Polvara D. (A),
  • 27', Gyamfi E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gyamfi E. , Frame M. ,
  • 47', Polvara D. 🟨,
  • 57', Armstrong S. , Shinnie G. ,
  • 62', Milanovic N. , Karlsson J. ,
  • 69', Easton D. , Montagu K. ,
  • 69', Winter A. , McMullan P. ,
  • 73', Rowe J. , Matthews R. ,
  • 75', Clarkson L. , Aouchiche A. ,
  • 79', Brown S. 🟨,
  • 81', Mullin J. , Nsio P. ,
  • 81', Hamilton J. , Vaughan L. ,
  • 84', Cameron L. , Nilsen S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aberdeen
64.4%
Draw
22.8%
Raith Rovers
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.5% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 22.5% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Aberdeen - Raith Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    4.23
    (4.05)
    7.83
    (6.19)
    4.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Aberdeen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aberdeen is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Aberdeen
    11.01.2026 Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers 0:2
    06.01.2026 Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen 2:0
    03.01.2026 Falkirk - Aberdeen 1:0
    30.12.2025 Hibernian - Aberdeen 2:0
    27.12.2025 Aberdeen - Dundee United 1:1
    Latest results of Raith Rovers
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1RangersBye
    5ClydeBye
    6ByeAnnan
    7LossiemouthFormartine Utd1 : 2
    8HuntlyBuckie Thistle1 : 3
    9StranraerBye
    10GlenaftonInvergordon3 : 2
    11Jeanfield SwiftsClydebank FC0 : 4
    12Newtongrange StarEast Stirlingshire1 : 3
    13Bo'ness AthleticKeith2 : 1
    14Linlithgow RoseGala Fairydean2 : 1
    16ByeQueen's Park
    17DumbartonBye
    18ColdstreamTayport2 : 3
    19Auchinleck TalbotCumnock Juniors2 : 1
    20Carluke RoversGretna 20080 : 4
    24ByeCeltic
    25KilmarnockBye
    32ByeDundee FC
    33AirdrieoniansBye
    36ByeHamilton
    37East FifeBye
    40ByeArbroath
    41LivingstonBye
    48ByeSt. Mirren
    49Camelon JuniorsAlbion Rovers2 : 1
    50Johnstone BurghThreave Rovers4 : 0
    51Edinburgh CityBye
    52Stirling UniversityBurntisland Shipyard6 : 2
    53Elgin CityBye
    54DarvelDeveronvale1 : 3
    55Forres MechanicsCaledonian Braves0 : 2
    56ByeStirling
    57MusselburghBonnyton Thistle2 : 0
    58ByeForfar Athletic
    60ByePartick Thistle
    61Wick AcademyRothes5 : 0
    62CowdenbeathBenburb1 : 2
    64ByeMontrose
    65DunfermlineBye
    68ByeQueen of South
    72ByeHibernian
    73Kelty HeartsBye
    75Lochee UnitedBrechin1 : 3
    76Civil Service StrollersDundonald Bluebell2 : 3
    77St JohnstoneBye
    80ByeCove Rangers
    81AberdeenBye
    85RaithBye
    88ByeAlloa
    89MotherwellBye
    93Bo'ness UnitedBanks O' Dee0 : 3
    94Brora RangersFraserburgh0 : 1
    96ByeRoss County
    97StenhousemuirBye
    99ClachnacuddinKilwinning Rangers2 : 1
    100InverurieSauchie0 : 2
    101PeterheadBye
    104ByeMorton
    105HeartsBye
    112ByeFalkirk
    113AyrBye
    115BerwickNairn County0 : 2
    116Turriff UtdHill Of Beath2 : 1
    120ByeDundee Utd
    121Cumbernauld ColtsGlasgow University4 : 0
    122Bonnyrigg RoseBroxburn Athletic2 : 1
    123SpartansBye
    124ByeEast Kilbride
    125TranentPollok3 : 0
    126Strathspey ThistleDundee North End1 : 2
    128ByeInverness

    1/64-finals
    1RangersBye
    3ClydeAnnan2 : 3
    4Formartine UtdBuckie Thistle0 : 2
    5StranraerGlenafton4 : 0
    6Clydebank FCEast Stirlingshire3 : 1
    7Bo'ness AthleticLinlithgow Rose0 : 2
    8ByeQueen's Park
    9DumbartonTayport2 : 0
    10Auchinleck TalbotGretna 20083 : 1
    12ByeCeltic
    13KilmarnockBye
    16ByeDundee FC
    17AirdrieoniansBye
    18ByeHamilton
    19East FifeBye
    20ByeArbroath
    21LivingstonBye
    24ByeSt. Mirren
    25Camelon JuniorsJohnstone Burgh1 : 0
    26Edinburgh CityStirling University1 : 0
    27Elgin CityDeveronvale2 : 1
    28Caledonian BravesStirling3 : 4
    29MusselburghForfar Athletic1 : 2
    30ByePartick Thistle
    31Wick AcademyBenburb1 : 2
    32ByeMontrose
    33DunfermlineBye
    34ByeQueen of South
    36ByeHibernian
    37Kelty HeartsBye
    38BrechinDundonald Bluebell3 : 1
    39St JohnstoneBye
    40ByeCove Rangers
    41AberdeenBye
    43RaithBye
    44ByeAlloa
    45MotherwellBye
    47Banks O' DeeFraserburgh4 : 0
    48ByeRoss County
    49StenhousemuirBye
    50ClachnacuddinSauchie2 : 0
    51PeterheadBye
    52ByeMorton
    53HeartsBye
    56ByeFalkirk
    57AyrBye
    58Nairn CountyTurriff Utd1 : 2
    60ByeDundee Utd
    61Cumbernauld ColtsBonnyrigg Rose0 : 2
    62SpartansEast Kilbride2 : 1
    63TranentDundee North End3 : 0
    64ByeInverness

    1/32-finals
    1RangersBye
    2AnnanBuckie Thistle4 : 0
    3StranraerClydebank FC2 : 1
    4Linlithgow RoseQueen's Park1 : 3
    5DumbartonAuchinleck Talbot0 : 4
    6ByeCeltic
    7KilmarnockBye
    8ByeDundee FC
    9AirdrieoniansHamilton4 : 0
    10East FifeArbroath0 : 2
    11LivingstonBye
    12ByeSt. Mirren
    13Camelon JuniorsEdinburgh City2 : 1
    14Elgin CityStirling4 : 2
    15Forfar AthleticPartick Thistle0 : 2
    16BenburbMontrose0 : 3
    17DunfermlineQueen of South2 : 1
    18ByeHibernian
    19Kelty HeartsBrechin2 : 0
    20St JohnstoneCove Rangers1 : 2
    21AberdeenBye
    22RaithAlloa1 : 0
    23MotherwellBye
    24Banks O' DeeRoss County0 : 2
    25StenhousemuirClachnacuddin4 : 1
    26PeterheadMorton2 : 3
    27HeartsBye
    28ByeFalkirk
    29AyrTurriff Utd3 : 0
    30ByeDundee Utd
    31Bonnyrigg RoseSpartans1 : 2
    32TranentInverness1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1RangersAnnan5 : 0
    2StranraerQueen's Park2 : 1
    3Auchinleck TalbotCeltic0 : 2
    4KilmarnockDundee FC1 : 2
    5AirdrieoniansArbroath4 : 3
    6LivingstonSt. Mirren1 : 2
    7Camelon JuniorsElgin City1 : 3
    8Partick ThistleMontrose3 : 1
    9DunfermlineHibernian1 : 0
    10Kelty HeartsCove Rangers2 : 1
    11AberdeenRaith1 : 0
    12MotherwellRoss County1 : 0
    13StenhousemuirMorton4 : 0
    14HeartsFalkirk1 : 2
    15AyrDundee Utd0 : 2
    16SpartansInverness1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1RangersQueen's Park8 : 0
    2CelticDundee FC2 : 1
    3AirdrieoniansSt. Mirren1 : 2
    4Elgin CityPartick Thistle2 : 3
    5DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 0
    6AberdeenMotherwell2 : 0
    7StenhousemuirFalkirk0 : 2
    8Dundee UtdSpartans2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RangersCeltic0 : 1
    2St. MirrenPartick Thistle2 : 1
    3DunfermlineAberdeen3 : 0
    4FalkirkDundee Utd2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CelticSt. Mirren
    2DunfermlineFalkirk