Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
nigeriaNigeriaRed TV
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Raith TV

Match Stats

Yellow cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Milne J. , Polvara D. (A),
  • 27', Gyamfi E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gyamfi E. , Frame M. ,
  • 47', Polvara D. 🟨,
  • 57', Armstrong S. , Shinnie G. ,
  • 62', Milanovic N. , Karlsson J. ,
  • 69', Easton D. , Montagu K. ,
  • 69', Winter A. , McMullan P. ,
  • 73', Rowe J. , Matthews R. ,
  • 75', Clarkson L. , Aouchiche A. ,
  • 79', Brown S. 🟨,
  • 81', Mullin J. , Nsio P. ,
  • 81', Hamilton J. , Vaughan L. ,
  • 84', Cameron L. , Nilsen S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aberdeen
64.4%
Draw
22.8%
Raith Rovers
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.5% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 22.5% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Aberdeen - Raith Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    4.23
    (4.05)
    7.83
    (6.19)
    4.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Aberdeen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aberdeen is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Aberdeen
    11.01.2026 Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers 0:2
    06.01.2026 Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen 2:0
    03.01.2026 Falkirk - Aberdeen 1:0
    30.12.2025 Hibernian - Aberdeen 2:0
    27.12.2025 Aberdeen - Dundee United 1:1
    Latest results of Raith Rovers
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1RangersBye
    5ClydeBye
    6ByeAnnan
    7LossiemouthFormartine Utd1 : 2
    8HuntlyBuckie Thistle1 : 3
    9StranraerBye
    10GlenaftonInvergordon3 : 2
    11Jeanfield SwiftsClydebank FC0 : 4
    12Newtongrange StarEast Stirlingshire1 : 3
    13Bo'ness AthleticKeith2 : 1
    14Linlithgow RoseGala Fairydean2 : 1
    16ByeQueen's Park
    17DumbartonBye
    18ColdstreamTayport2 : 3
    19Auchinleck TalbotCumnock Juniors2 : 1
    20Carluke RoversGretna 20080 : 4
    24ByeCeltic
    25KilmarnockBye
    32ByeDundee FC
    33DunfermlineBye
    36ByeQueen of South
    40ByeHibernian
    41Kelty HeartsBye
    43Lochee UnitedBrechin1 : 3
    44Civil Service StrollersDundonald Bluebell2 : 3
    45St JohnstoneBye
    48ByeCove Rangers
    49AberdeenBye
    53RaithBye
    56ByeAlloa
    57MotherwellBye
    61Bo'ness UnitedBanks O' Dee0 : 3
    62Brora RangersFraserburgh0 : 1
    64ByeRoss County
    65StenhousemuirBye
    67ClachnacuddinKilwinning Rangers2 : 1
    68InverurieSauchie0 : 2
    69PeterheadBye
    72ByeMorton
    73HeartsBye
    80ByeFalkirk
    81AyrBye
    83BerwickNairn County0 : 2
    84Turriff UtdHill Of Beath2 : 1
    88ByeDundee Utd
    89Cumbernauld ColtsGlasgow University4 : 0
    90Bonnyrigg RoseBroxburn Athletic2 : 1
    91SpartansBye
    92ByeEast Kilbride
    93TranentPollok3 : 0
    94Strathspey ThistleDundee North End1 : 2
    96ByeInverness
    97AirdrieoniansBye
    100ByeHamilton
    101East FifeBye
    104ByeArbroath
    105LivingstonBye
    112ByeSt. Mirren
    113Camelon JuniorsAlbion Rovers2 : 1
    114Johnstone BurghThreave Rovers4 : 0
    115Edinburgh CityBye
    116Stirling UniversityBurntisland Shipyard6 : 2
    117Elgin CityBye
    118DarvelDeveronvale1 : 3
    119Forres MechanicsCaledonian Braves0 : 2
    120ByeStirling
    121MusselburghBonnyton Thistle2 : 0
    122ByeForfar Athletic
    124ByePartick Thistle
    125Wick AcademyRothes5 : 0
    126CowdenbeathBenburb1 : 2
    128ByeMontrose

    1/64-finals
    1RangersBye
    3ClydeAnnan2 : 3
    4Formartine UtdBuckie Thistle0 : 2
    5StranraerGlenafton4 : 0
    6Clydebank FCEast Stirlingshire3 : 1
    7Bo'ness AthleticLinlithgow Rose0 : 2
    8ByeQueen's Park
    9DumbartonTayport2 : 0
    10Auchinleck TalbotGretna 20083 : 1
    12ByeCeltic
    13KilmarnockBye
    16ByeDundee FC
    17DunfermlineBye
    18ByeQueen of South
    20ByeHibernian
    21Kelty HeartsBye
    22BrechinDundonald Bluebell3 : 1
    23St JohnstoneBye
    24ByeCove Rangers
    25AberdeenBye
    27RaithBye
    28ByeAlloa
    29MotherwellBye
    31Banks O' DeeFraserburgh4 : 0
    32ByeRoss County
    33StenhousemuirBye
    34ClachnacuddinSauchie2 : 0
    35PeterheadBye
    36ByeMorton
    37HeartsBye
    40ByeFalkirk
    41AyrBye
    42Nairn CountyTurriff Utd1 : 2
    44ByeDundee Utd
    45Cumbernauld ColtsBonnyrigg Rose0 : 2
    46SpartansEast Kilbride2 : 1
    47TranentDundee North End3 : 0
    48ByeInverness
    49AirdrieoniansBye
    50ByeHamilton
    51East FifeBye
    52ByeArbroath
    53LivingstonBye
    56ByeSt. Mirren
    57Camelon JuniorsJohnstone Burgh1 : 0
    58Edinburgh CityStirling University1 : 0
    59Elgin CityDeveronvale2 : 1
    60Caledonian BravesStirling3 : 4
    61MusselburghForfar Athletic1 : 2
    62ByePartick Thistle
    63Wick AcademyBenburb1 : 2
    64ByeMontrose

    1/32-finals
    1RangersBye
    2AnnanBuckie Thistle4 : 0
    3StranraerClydebank FC2 : 1
    4Linlithgow RoseQueen's Park1 : 3
    5DumbartonAuchinleck Talbot0 : 4
    6ByeCeltic
    7KilmarnockBye
    8ByeDundee FC
    9DunfermlineQueen of South2 : 1
    10ByeHibernian
    11Kelty HeartsBrechin2 : 0
    12St JohnstoneCove Rangers1 : 2
    13AberdeenBye
    14RaithAlloa1 : 0
    15MotherwellBye
    16Banks O' DeeRoss County0 : 2
    17StenhousemuirClachnacuddin4 : 1
    18PeterheadMorton2 : 3
    19HeartsBye
    20ByeFalkirk
    21AyrTurriff Utd3 : 0
    22ByeDundee Utd
    23Bonnyrigg RoseSpartans1 : 2
    24TranentInverness1 : 2
    25AirdrieoniansHamilton4 : 0
    26East FifeArbroath0 : 2
    27LivingstonBye
    28ByeSt. Mirren
    29Camelon JuniorsEdinburgh City2 : 1
    30Elgin CityStirling4 : 2
    31Forfar AthleticPartick Thistle0 : 2
    32BenburbMontrose0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1RangersAnnan5 : 0
    2StranraerQueen's Park2 : 1
    3Auchinleck TalbotCeltic0 : 2
    4KilmarnockDundee FC1 : 2
    5DunfermlineHibernian1 : 0
    6Kelty HeartsCove Rangers2 : 1
    7AberdeenRaith1 : 0
    8MotherwellRoss County1 : 0
    9StenhousemuirMorton4 : 0
    10HeartsFalkirk1 : 2
    11AyrDundee Utd0 : 2
    12SpartansInverness1 : 0
    13AirdrieoniansArbroath4 : 3
    14LivingstonSt. Mirren1 : 2
    15Camelon JuniorsElgin City1 : 3
    16Partick ThistleMontrose3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1RangersQueen's Park8 : 0
    2CelticDundee FC2 : 1
    3DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 0
    4AberdeenMotherwell2 : 0
    5StenhousemuirFalkirk0 : 2
    6Dundee UtdSpartans2 : 1
    7AirdrieoniansSt. Mirren1 : 2
    8Elgin CityPartick Thistle2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1RangersCeltic
    2DunfermlineAberdeen
    3FalkirkDundee Utd
    4St. MirrenPartick Thistle