Result
3:3
03/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 15
- Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/469) | 63% (146/232) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/469) | 63% (146/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 39% (28/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (102/146) | 51% (41/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Taylor F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 54', 0 - 1, Fraser M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Jensen A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 68', Aouchiche A. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Polvara D. ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, Lazetic M. ⚽,
- 77', Richardson J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 78', Tanser S. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 78', Baccus K. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 78', Taylor F. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
- 81', Mandron M. ↓, Mooney E. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Ayunga J. ⚽, Freckleton M. (A),
- 85', 3 - 2, Lazetic M. ⚽, Armstrong S. (A),
- 89', Armstrong S. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 89', Keskinen T. ↓, Molloy G. ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 3, King R. ⚽, McMenamin C. (A),
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
42.5% | Draw
28.9% | St. Mirren
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aberdeen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-4%)
Aberdeen - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.97) |
3.27 ↓
(3.38) |
3.28 ↓
(3.7) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - St. Mirren?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Aberdeen (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Aberdeen will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2.
- Aberdeen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Mirren's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- St. Mirren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aberdeen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against St. Mirren?
Aberdeen has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Aberdeen?
St. Mirren has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - St. Mirren were as follows:
18.10.2025
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
0:1
03.05.2025
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
1:0
25.01.2025
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
0:3
23.11.2024
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
2:1
11.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
3:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
