Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 32
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/467) | 76% (261/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/467) | 76% (261/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (86/140) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Bilalovic K. 🟨,
- 39', Morrison L. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Ayunga J. ⚽,
- 45', Lazetic M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ayunga J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilalovic K. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 46', Lazetic M. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 46', Keskinen T. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 59', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 59', Phillips K. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 65', Shinnie G. ↓, Cameron L. ↑,
- 68', Ayunga J. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 79', Jensen A. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Gogic A. ⚽, Tanser S. (A),
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
48.7% | Draw
27.1% | Aberdeen
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Mirren that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
St. Mirren - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.13) |
3.47 ↑
(3.42) |
3.88 ↑
(3.39) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ))
- St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 3.
- St. Mirren has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aberdeen has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- St. Mirren could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Groin Injury)
Etete K.
(Inactive)
Fraser M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Cameron L.
(Inactive)
Devlin N.
(Knee Injury)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Afeez A.
(Injury)
Knoester M.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Aberdeen?
St. Mirren has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against St. Mirren?
Aberdeen has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Aberdeen were as follows:
03.12.2025
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
3:3
18.10.2025
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
0:1
03.05.2025
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
1:0
25.01.2025
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
0:3
23.11.2024
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
2:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 55:27 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 32 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 58:35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 42:42 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd ✔ | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 31:48 | -17 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | -28 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 32 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 33:63 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Falkirk is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee Utd is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
