Aberystwyth Town vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 32
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
811
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
710
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Evans J. , Dafis G. ,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ,
  • 40', Poole D. , Williams A. ,
  • 45+3', Marriott Ch. , Wright O. ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Lewis I. ,
  • 45+6', Roberts D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Woodcock M. , Foster R. ,
  • 46', Sharif A. , Huxley C. ,
  • 46', Osment S. , Jones D. ,
  • 59', Williams A. , Mwandwe L. ,
  • 66', Darlington A. , Diboe C. ,
  • 71', Hartley Z. , Mason T. ,
  • 87', Disney J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aberystwyth Town
14.4%
Draw
20.7%
Gap Connahs Quay
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 18.3% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 17.7% 68.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.42
    (5.86)
    4.48
    (5.05)
    1.43
    (1.41)
    8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 1.
    • Aberystwyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Connahs Quay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Connahs Quay is absolute favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 17:45 (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:21 (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 3:0
    22.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 1:2
    04.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 3:0
    16.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    06.10.2023 Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1072126:71923
    2Penybont1071218:61222
    3Caernarfon1062227:151220
    4Bala104339:12-315
    5Barry1035214:10414
    6Connahs Q933311:13-212
    7Colwyn Bay1025312:9311
    8Flint932418:21-311
    9Briton Ferry923416:17-19
    10Cardiff Metropolitan1015414:22-88
    11Llanelli102176:27-217
    12Haverfordwest91267:19-125

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