Aberystwyth Town vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 32
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
811
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
710
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Evans J. , Dafis G. ,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ,
  • 40', Poole D. , Williams A. ,
  • 45+3', Marriott Ch. , Wright O. ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Lewis I. ,
  • 45+6', Roberts D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Woodcock M. , Foster R. ,
  • 46', Sharif A. , Huxley C. ,
  • 46', Osment S. , Jones D. ,
  • 59', Williams A. , Mwandwe L. ,
  • 66', Darlington A. , Diboe C. ,
  • 71', Hartley Z. , Mason T. ,
  • 87', Disney J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aberystwyth Town
14.4%
Draw
20.7%
Gap Connahs Quay
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 18.3% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 17.7% 68.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.42
    (5.86)
    4.48
    (5.05)
    1.43
    (1.41)
    8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 1.
    • Aberystwyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Connahs Quay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Connahs Quay is absolute favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 17:45 (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:21 (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 3:0
    22.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 1:2
    04.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 3:0
    16.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    06.10.2023 Aberystwyth Town - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS ✔ 29232474:245071
    2Connahs Q. ✔ 29168558:342456
    3Colwyn Bay ✔ 291271040:34643
    4Barry ✔ 29119940:31942
    5Penybont ✔ 291171139:45-640
    6Caernarfon ✔ 291091052:43939

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)