Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Newtown - Aberystwyth Town
Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', Davies B. , Darlington A. ,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Sharp O. ,
  • 44', Rainbird J. , Harries J. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Flint N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Oswell J. ,
  • 56', Evans R. 🟨,
  • 62', Smith D. 🟨,
  • 70', Evans R. , Martin D. ,
  • 70', Smith C. , Tahra W. ,
  • 75', Bradford L. , Diboe C. ,
  • 75', Sharif A. , Dafis G. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Flint N. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Diboe C. ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 86', Hughes G. , Downs D. ,
  • 87', Flint N. , Mason T. ,
  • 88', Hartley Z. , Huxley C. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdz7t2ya

Chances of winning


Newtown
64%
Draw
21.8%
Aberystwyth Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 17.1% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newtown's performance.
  • Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newtown that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberystwyth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newtown - Aberystwyth Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.57)
    4.24
    (4)
    6.5
    (5)
    8.2%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 3.
    • Recent matches Newtown is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aberystwyth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Newtown is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Newtown won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36:27 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newtown - Aberystwyth Town were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Aberystwyth Town - Newtown 0:1
    08.11.2024 Aberystwyth Town - Newtown 3:1
    09.08.2024 Newtown - Aberystwyth Town 4:1
    14.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town - Newtown 0:1
    26.08.2023 Newtown - Aberystwyth Town 0:0
    Latest results of Newtown
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colwyn Bay00000:000
    2Caernarfon00000:000
    3Connahs Q00000:000
    4Haverfordwest00000:000
    5Llanelli00000:000
    6TNS00000:000
    7Flint00000:000
    8Briton Ferry00000:000
    9Bala00000:000
    10Barry00000:000
    11Cardiff Metropolitan00000:000
    12Penybont00000:000

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