Abia Warriors vs Barau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPFL - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
nigeriaNigeriaNPFL Live

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Obioma C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Obioma C. , Suraju L. ,
  • 46', Innocent G. , Njoku C. ,
  • 51', Megwo S. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Megwo S. ,
  • 62', Samson P. , Joseph I. ,
  • 77', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Abia Warriors
66%
Draw
23.6%
Barau
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 22.9% 9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 12.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abia Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Barau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-29.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abia Warriors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Abia Warriors - Barau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)
    3.88
    (3.99)
    8.77
    (9.75)
    9.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Abia Warriors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Abia Warriors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barau has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Abia Warriors is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Abia Warriors
    Latest results of Barau
    12.10.2025 Plateau United - Barau 2:0
    05.10.2025 Barau - Warri Wolves 0:1
    28.09.2025 Kun Khalifa - Barau 1:3
    14.09.2025 Ikorodu City - Barau 2:0
    31.08.2025 Bayelsa United - Barau 2:0
    Nigerian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rangers Int'l28138732:201247
    2Rivers United251210321:14746
    3Ikorodu City28129726:20645
    4Nasarawa28128825:22344
    5Abia Warriors28127922:20243
    6Bendel281011733:24941
    7Shooting271251027:28-141
    8El Kanemi271251022:26-441
    9Katsina Utd281081025:26-138
    10Barau28910923:25-237
    11Warri Wolves28991025:26-136
    12Plateau United281131427:31-436
    13Niger Tornadoes271051230:25535
    14Bayelsa United288101024:29-534
    15Enyimba28891128:30-233
    16Wikki Tourist287111024:29-532
    17Kano Pillars281051322:28-332
    18Remo Stars28931626:34-830
    19Kun Khalifa28781324:29-529
    20Kwara28881219:25-329

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation