Abia Warriors vs Barau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPFL - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
nigeriaNigeriaNPFL Live

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Obioma C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Obioma C. , Suraju L. ,
  • 46', Innocent G. , Njoku C. ,
  • 51', Megwo S. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Megwo S. ,
  • 62', Samson P. , Joseph I. ,
  • 77', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Abia Warriors
66%
Draw
23.6%
Barau
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 22.9% 9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 12.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abia Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Barau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-29.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abia Warriors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Abia Warriors - Barau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)
    3.88
    (3.99)
    8.77
    (9.75)
    9.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Abia Warriors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Abia Warriors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barau has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Abia Warriors is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Abia Warriors
    Latest results of Barau
    12.10.2025 Plateau United - Barau 2:0
    05.10.2025 Barau - Warri Wolves 0:1
    28.09.2025 Kun Khalifa - Barau 1:3
    14.09.2025 Ikorodu City - Barau 2:0
    31.08.2025 Bayelsa United - Barau 2:0
    Nigerian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rangers Int'l31159738:211754
    2Rivers United311410729:23652
    3Nasarawa31148931:25650
    4Ikorodu City311310829:23649
    5Abia Warriors311471026:23349
    6Shooting311451232:34-247
    7Bendel311112836:28845
    8Katsina Utd311191128:29-142
    9Plateau United311331531:33-242
    10El Kanemi311261324:34-1042
    11Barau3110111025:26-141
    12Warri Wolves3110101128:29-140
    13Niger Tornadoes311161432:30239
    14Kano Pillars311261325:28039
    15Bayelsa United319101226:32-637
    16Enyimba31991331:34-336
    17Wikki Tourist318121128:33-536
    18Remo Stars311131732:40-836
    19Kun Khalifa31891428:33-533
    20Kwara31991322:29-433

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation