Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (288/439) | 58% (213/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (288/439) | 58% (213/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (21/86) | 27% (26/95) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (92/161) | 51% (59/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 85 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Whalley S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Slater J. 🟥,
- 64', Cursons T. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 64', McAleny C. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 73', Caton C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 78', Asare Z. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 90+1', Conneely S. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 90+5', Love D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
55.4% | Draw
25.5% | Harrogate Town
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harrogate Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrogate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.95) |
3.65 ↑
(3.3) |
4.86 ↑
(3.6) |
7.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Accrington (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Accrington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Accrington Stanley will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Accrington Stanley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
- Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J.
(Inactive)
Coyle L.
(Injury)
Madden P.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Muldoon J.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Harrogate Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town were as follows:
09.12.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:2
01.03.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
17.08.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Harrogate Town
3:3
26.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
10.10.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Accrington Stanley
3:5
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
