Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Brown D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.50
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
257
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
66% (288/439)58% (213/369)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.44
Total shots
257
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3811
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
910
Passes
66% (288/439)58% (213/369)
Long passes
24% (21/86)27% (26/95)
Passes in final third
57% (92/161)51% (59/116)
Crosses
23% (6/26)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.42
Throw-ins
4031
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (9/18)
Duels won
6885
Clearances
2441
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.441.96
Goals prevented
0.440.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Grant C. , Conneely S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Whalley S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Slater J. 🟥,
  • 64', Cursons T. , Bennett M. ,
  • 64', McAleny C. , McCoulsky S. ,
  • 73', Caton C. , Woods J. ,
  • 78', Asare Z. , Cass L. ,
  • 90+1', Conneely S. , Sass F. ,
  • 90+5', Love D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
55.4%
Draw
25.5%
Harrogate Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.4% 24.2%

Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.69
(1.95)
3.65
(3.3)
4.86
(3.6)
7.3%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Accrington (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Accrington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
    • Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Coyle L. (Injury) Madden P. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Muldoon J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 0:2
    01.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    17.08.2024 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 3:3
    26.12.2023 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    10.10.2023 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 3:5
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League