Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Brown D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.50
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
257
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
66% (288/439)58% (213/369)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.44
Total shots
257
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3811
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
910
Passes
66% (288/439)58% (213/369)
Long passes
24% (21/86)27% (26/95)
Passes in final third
57% (92/161)51% (59/116)
Crosses
23% (6/26)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.42
Throw-ins
4031
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (9/18)
Duels won
6885
Clearances
2441
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.441.96
Goals prevented
0.440.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Grant C. , Conneely S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Whalley S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Slater J. 🟥,
  • 64', Cursons T. , Bennett M. ,
  • 64', McAleny C. , McCoulsky S. ,
  • 73', Caton C. , Woods J. ,
  • 78', Asare Z. , Cass L. ,
  • 90+1', Conneely S. , Sass F. ,
  • 90+5', Love D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
55.4%
Draw
25.5%
Harrogate Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.4% 24.2%

Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.69
(1.95)
3.65
(3.3)
4.86
(3.6)
7.3%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Accrington (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Accrington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Accrington Stanley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
    • Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Cass L. (Ankle Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Faulkner B. (Inactive) Gibson L. (Injury) Hill T. (Injury) Taylor E. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Coyle L. (Injury) Madden P. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Muldoon J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 0:2
    01.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    17.08.2024 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 3:3
    26.12.2023 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    10.10.2023 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 3:5
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League