Oxford United vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Oxford United - Accrington Stanley
Result
1:2
07/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 46
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oxford United
62.5%
Draw
21.9%
Accrington Stanley
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 24.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 21.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.
  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Accrington Stanley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oxford United - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.71)
    4.31
    (3.85)
    6.04
    (4.38)
    6.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Oxford United - Accrington Stanley?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 56.3%96.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Oxford has the most likely position - 19 (59.44%), project points - 49, currently - 47, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Accrington has the most likely position - 23 (97.3%), project points - 42, currently - 41, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2.
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Accrington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Oxford is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Oxford won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 41-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    03.12.2022 Accrington Stanley - Oxford United 1:1
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two