Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Toure I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
33.4% | Draw
29.8% | ACR Messina
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castrumfavara's performance.ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Castrumfavara - ACR Messina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(3.46) |
3.07 ↑
(2.74) |
2.48 ↑
(2.23) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Castrumfavara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ACR Messina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- ACR Messina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against ACR Messina?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Castrumfavara?
ACR Messina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - ACR Messina were as follows:
26.10.2025
ACR Messina
-
Castrumfavara
2:1
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
