ACR Messina vs Crotone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C ACR Messina - Crotone
Result
0:2
20/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport Max

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
310
Shots on Goal
07
Shots off Goal
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Armini N. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Tumminello M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Pedicillo L. , Cominetti M. ,
  • 59', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Tumminello M. ,
  • 63', Dell'Aquila F. , Re A. ,
  • 63', Petrucci D. , Anzelmo D. ,
  • 63', Mame Ass N. , Morichelli R. ,
  • 74', Tumminello M. , Oviszach E. ,
  • 74', Vitale M. , Schiro T. ,
  • 78', Crimi M. , De Sena C. ,
  • 84', Silva J. , Vilardi M. ,
  • 84', Guerini A. , Piras M. ,
  • 87', Gallo A. , Stronati R. ,

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
18.9%
Draw
24.7%
Crotone
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 27% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 26% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.
  • Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ACR Messina - Crotone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.8
    (3.61)
    3.68
    (3.31)
    1.61
    (1.85)
    10.3%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for ACR Messina - Crotone?
  • Users Predictions: Crotone will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0.
    • ACR Messina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Crotone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Crotone is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Crotone were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Crotone - ACR Messina 2:0
    10.08.2024 Crotone - ACR Messina 1:0
    06.03.2024 ACR Messina - Crotone 0:1
    29.10.2023 Crotone - ACR Messina 3:3
    23.12.2022 Crotone - ACR Messina 1:0
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    11.01.2025 Taranto - ACR Messina 0:1
    22.12.2024 Potenza - ACR Messina 2:1
    14.12.2024 Juventus U23 - ACR Messina 2:0
    07.12.2024 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:3
    Latest results of Crotone
    12.01.2025 Trapani - Crotone 0:3
    04.01.2025 Crotone - Cavese 1:1
    21.12.2024 Altamura - Crotone 1:3
    14.12.2024 Turris - Crotone 0:5
    08.12.2024 Crotone - Casertana 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1