Result
0:2
20/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Armini N. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Pedicillo L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
- 59', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Tumminello M. ⚽,
- 63', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Re A. ↑,
- 63', Petrucci D. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
- 63', Mame Ass N. ↓, Morichelli R. ↑,
- 74', Tumminello M. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 74', Vitale M. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
- 78', Crimi M. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
- 84', Silva J. ↓, Vilardi M. ↑,
- 84', Guerini A. ↓, Piras M. ↑,
- 87', Gallo A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina
18.9% | Draw
24.7% | Crotone
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ACR Messina - Crotone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.8 ↑
(3.61) |
3.68 ↑
(3.31) |
1.61 ↓
(1.85) |
10.3%
(12.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for ACR Messina - Crotone?
Users Predictions:
Crotone will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0.
- ACR Messina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Crotone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Crotone is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Crotone?
ACR Messina has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against ACR Messina?
Crotone has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Crotone were as follows:
14.09.2024
Crotone
-
ACR Messina
2:0
10.08.2024
Crotone
-
ACR Messina
1:0
06.03.2024
ACR Messina
-
Crotone
0:1
29.10.2023
Crotone
-
ACR Messina
3:3
23.12.2022
Crotone
-
ACR Messina
1:0
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Crotone
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
