ACR Messina vs Gelbison Cilento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento
Result
1:0
13/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - PLAY OUT - FINAL

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
46.6%
Draw
30%
Gelbison Cilento
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 32.1% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 28.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.
  • Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gelbison Cilento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.22)
    3.03
    (2.8)
    3.87
    (3.25)
    10.2%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento?
  • Users Predictions: ACR Messina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.
    • Recent matches ACR Messina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gelbison Cilento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match ACR Messina is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento were as follows:
    06.05.2023 Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina 1:0
    12.02.2023 Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina 1:2
    15.10.2022 ACR Messina - Gelbison Cilento 0:1
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    23.04.2023 Taranto - ACR Messina 0:0
    16.04.2023 ACR Messina - Juve Stabia 1:0
    08.04.2023 Picerno - ACR Messina 0:0
    02.04.2023 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:1
    Latest results of Gelbison Cilento
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1