Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vigor Lamezia
36.3% | Draw
30.1% | ACR Messina
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Lamezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Vigor Lamezia - ACR Messina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.22) |
3.02 ↓
(3.13) |
2.7 ↓
(3.02) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- ACR Messina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vigor Lamezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Lamezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Lamezia won against ACR Messina?
Vigor Lamezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Vigor Lamezia?
ACR Messina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Lamezia - ACR Messina were as follows:
07.12.2025
ACR Messina
-
Vigor Lamezia
1:0
Latest results of Vigor Lamezia
Latest results of ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 60:29 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Nissa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47:26 | 21 | 64 |
| 3 | Reggina | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40:21 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo ✔ | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Gelbison ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Enna | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | USD Ragusa | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 31:46 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21:68 | -47 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Paterno is Relegated to
