Santos vs ADA Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Santos - ADA Jaén
Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Maciel E. 🟨,
  • 19', 🟨,
  • 28', Rodriguez F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Salinas T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cuneo O. , Garcia C. ,
  • 46', Cavero G. , Condena A. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Curiel M. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Salinas T. ,
  • 66', Cano L. 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 74', Carranza T. , Llanos A. ,
  • 74', Colon S. , Wesly ,
  • 74', Falcon L. , Toledo P. ,
  • 82', Rossi E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Santos
48.4%
Draw
27%
ADA Jaén
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 25.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Santos - ADA Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.9)
    3.37
    (3.06)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    9.7%
    (14%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ADA is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Santos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - ADA Jaén were as follows:
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    07.09.2024 Santos - ADA Jaén 1:2
    11.08.2024 ADA Jaén - Santos 2:4
    Latest results of Santos
    30.08.2025 Unión Comercio - Santos 2:1
    09.08.2025 Santos - San Marcos 3:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    26.07.2025 Santos - Unión Comercio 0:2
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moquegua ✔ 732213:10312
    2FC Cajamarca72327:7011
    3Cesar Vallejo73139:9010
    4Tacna Heroica824211:12-110
    5Carlos Mannucci722314:16-28


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio ✔ 760113:4918
    2Comerciantes722312:7510
    3ADA Jaen82429:9010
    4Santos730410:11-19
    5San Marcos71244:17-136

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Union Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)