ADA Jaén vs Unión Comercio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 0, ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADA Jaén
57.7%
Draw
23.8%
Unión Comercio
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 27.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28.3% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Jaén's performance.
  • Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Comercio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Jaén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Comercio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (2.63)
    3.31
    (3.25)
    4.16
    (2.35)
    25.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: ADA Jaén will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Unión Comercio is Confirmed as champions
    • Recent form of ADA has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Comercio is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, ADA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén 2:0
    23.03.2025 ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio 1:0
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    06.09.2025 Santos - ADA Jaén 1:2
    24.08.2025 San Marcos - ADA Jaén 1:0
    03.08.2025 ADA Jaén - Santos 1:2
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2