Unión Comercio vs ADA Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén
Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Marcos N. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Ayala J. ,
  • 80', Ayala J. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Arrieta J. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
58.9%
Draw
24.8%
ADA Jaén
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 24.6% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 23.5% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Unión Comercio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.54)
    3.67
    (3.68)
    5.55
    (5.46)
    10.2%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Unión Comercio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, ADA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Unión Comercio is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén were as follows:
    23.03.2025 ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio 1:0
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica42117:707
    2Carlos Mannucci32015:236
    3Moquegua31115:6-15
    4Cesar Vallejo31114:314
    5FC Cajamarca30121:4-33


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio33006:069
    2Santos32015:326
    3San Marcos31111:3-25
    4Comerciantes30121:4-33
    5ADA Jaen40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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