Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 🟨,
- 59', 🟨,
- 60', 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADA Jaén 57.7% | Draw 23.8% | Unión Comercio 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Jaén's performance.Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Comercio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-22.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Comercio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (2.63) |
3.31 ↑ (3.25) |
4.16 ↑ (2.35) |
25.1% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
ADA Jaén will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Unión Comercio is Confirmed as champions
- Recent form of ADA has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Comercio is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADA is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ADA Jaén won against Unión Comercio?
ADA Jaén has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against ADA Jaén?
Unión Comercio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio were as follows:
10.08.2025
Unión Comercio
-
ADA Jaén
2:0
23.03.2025
ADA Jaén
-
Unión Comercio
1:0
Latest results of ADA Jaén
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | FC Cajamarca | Bye | |
2 | Comerciantes | Cesar Vallejo | 0 : 1 |
3 | Union Comercio | Bye | |
4 | Moquegua | ADA Jaen | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | FC Cajamarca | Cesar Vallejo | |
2 | Union Comercio | Moquegua | |
Final