Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
411
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
65%66%
1st serve points won
66% (23/35)80% (37/46)
2nd serve points won
68% (13/19)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
4/75/6
1st return points won
22% (10/46)40% (14/35)
2nd return points won
54% (13/24)32% (6/19)
Break Points Converted
1/63/7
Winners
1527
Unforced errors
1926
Net points won
57% (8/14)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
63% (34/54)68% (47/69)
Return Points Won
32% (22/69)37% (20/54)
Total Points Won
46% (56/123)54% (67/123)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
70% (7/10)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)30% (3/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Adam Walton
36.9%
Mattia Bellucci
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.55)

    1.49
    (1.46)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bellucci will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Walton (votes: 1 - 50%). Bellucci (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Walton is ranked ATP: 91. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94.
    • Walton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bellucci has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bellucci could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Walton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci 0:2
    21.07.2024 Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci 1:2
    Latest results of Adam Walton
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2