Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (23/35) | 80% (37/46) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 46% (11/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/7 | 5/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 22% (10/46) | 40% (14/35) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 32% (6/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/6 | 3/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 89% (8/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 68% (47/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (22/69) | 37% (20/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (56/123) | 54% (67/123) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 62% (13/21) |
Chances of winning
Adam Walton 36.9% | Mattia Bellucci 63.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↓ (2.55) |
|
1.49 ↑ (1.46) |
6.6% (7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bellucci will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Walton (votes: 1 - 50%). Bellucci (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Walton is ranked ATP: 91. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94.
- Walton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Bellucci has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bellucci could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Walton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Adam Walton won against Mattia Bellucci?
Adam Walton has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Adam Walton?
Mattia Bellucci has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
01.10.2025
Adam Walton
-
Mattia Bellucci
0:2
21.07.2024
Adam Walton
-
Mattia Bellucci
1:2
Latest results of Adam Walton
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | 0 : 2 |