Result
3:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ethiopia Bunna 41.4% | Draw 31.3% | Adama City 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ethiopia Bunna's performance.Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.54) |
2.89 ↑ (2.83) |
3.32 ↑ (2.94) |
10.5% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1.
- Ethiopia Bunna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Adama City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Bunna won against Adama City?
Ethiopia Bunna has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Ethiopia Bunna?
Adama City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City were as follows:
09.11.2025
Adama City
-
Ethiopia Bunna
1:0
18.05.2025
Ethiopia Bunna
-
Adama City
2:0
29.11.2024
Adama City
-
Ethiopia Bunna
2:1
14.04.2024
Ethiopia Bunna
-
Adama City
0:1
03.12.2023
Adama City
-
Ethiopia Bunna
2:1
Latest results of Ethiopia Bunna
Latest results of Adama City
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Ethio Electric | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Mechal | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Fasil Kenema | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Adama City | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Dire Dawa | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Welayta Dicha | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 18 | St. George | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 16:20 | -4 | 25 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation