Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
107:111
22/02/2026 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Additional match - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6770
Field goals made
3639
Field goals %
53.73%55.71%
2-point field goals attempts
3847
2-point field goals made
2827
2-point field goals %
73.68%57.45%
3-point field goals attempts
2923
3-point field goals made
812
3-point field goals %
27.59%52.17%
Free throws attempts
3428
Free throws made
2721
Free throws %
79.4%75%
Offensive rebounds
910
Defensive rebounds
2525
Total rebounds
3435
Assists
2120
Blocks
71
Turnovers
1010
Steals
58
Personal fouls
2226

Chances of winning


Adelaide 36ers
65.8%
New Zealand Breakers
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide 36ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide 36ers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Breakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.46)

    2.74
    (2.57)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 185.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1720:1797. (average 86:89.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 761:807. (average 84.6:89.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers 92:89
    23.01.2026 New Zealand Breakers - Adelaide 36ers 110:112
    06.11.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Adelaide 36ers 79:83
    26.01.2025 Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers 94:78
    14.12.2024 Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers 111:94
    Latest results of Adelaide 36ers
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111