Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
41:131
31/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
521
Behinds
115
Kicks
201226
Handballs
114116
Disposals
315342
Frees For
2422
Frees Against
2224
Clearances Completed
5441
Marks
6183
Tackles
8384
Hitouts
3945

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 33)
  • 00:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:28, McLean H. (G),
  • 05:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:01, Rankine I. (G),
  • 08:09, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 11:40, Rachele J. (G),
  • 19:00, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 20:53, Smith B. (G),
  • 28:10, Milera W. (G),
  • 31:17, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (2 - 42)
  • 01:25, Soligo J. (G),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:52, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 17:40, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 22:44, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 26:21, Berry S. (G),
  • 28:01, Rachele J. (G),
  • 29:50, Cumming I. (G),
  • 31:31, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (27 - 37)
  • 00:52, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 02:32, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 04:47, Hayward W. (G),
  • 06:58, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 11:08, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:54, Walker T. (G),
  • 15:26, McLean H. (G),
  • 17:54, Campbell B. (G),
  • 19:10, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 21:54, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
  • 25:07, Dawson J. (G),
  • 27:22, Rachele J. (G),
  • 31:08, Keays B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (4 - 19)
  • 05:43, Keays B. (G),
  • 10:04, Cumming I. (G),
  • 13:39, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 17:05, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:31, Keays B. (G),
  • 29:04, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
40.7%
Adelaide Crows
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.9)

    1.58
    (1.9)
    7.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1507:1150. (average 94.2:71.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 732:583. (average 91.5:72.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 121:90
    15.06.2024 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 67:109
    19.08.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 73:74
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )