Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
41:131
31/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
521
Behinds
115
Kicks
201226
Handballs
114116
Disposals
315342
Frees For
2422
Frees Against
2224
Clearances Completed
5441
Marks
6183
Tackles
8384
Hitouts
3945

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 33)
  • 00:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:28, McLean H. (G),
  • 05:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:01, Rankine I. (G),
  • 08:09, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 11:40, Rachele J. (G),
  • 19:00, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 20:53, Smith B. (G),
  • 28:10, Milera W. (G),
  • 31:17, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (2 - 42)
  • 01:25, Soligo J. (G),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:52, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 17:40, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 22:44, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 26:21, Berry S. (G),
  • 28:01, Rachele J. (G),
  • 29:50, Cumming I. (G),
  • 31:31, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (27 - 37)
  • 00:52, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 02:32, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 04:47, Hayward W. (G),
  • 06:58, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 11:08, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:54, Walker T. (G),
  • 15:26, McLean H. (G),
  • 17:54, Campbell B. (G),
  • 19:10, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 21:54, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
  • 25:07, Dawson J. (G),
  • 27:22, Rachele J. (G),
  • 31:08, Keays B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (4 - 19)
  • 05:43, Keays B. (G),
  • 10:04, Cumming I. (G),
  • 13:39, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 17:05, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:31, Keays B. (G),
  • 29:04, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
40.7%
Adelaide Crows
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.9)

    1.58
    (1.9)
    7.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1507:1150. (average 94.2:71.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 732:583. (average 91.5:72.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 121:90
    15.06.2024 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 67:109
    19.08.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 73:74
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Gold Coast Suns3300384:201191.0412
    2Western Bulldogs3300339:247137.2512
    3Sydney Swans3201318:228139.478
    4Hawthorn Hawks3201339:287118.128
    5Fremantle Dockers2101218:180121.114
    6North Melbourne2101207:178116.294
    7Port Adelaide Power2101200:183109.294
    8Adelaide Crows2101181:173104.624
    9Collingwood Magpies2101157:15998.744
    10St Kilda Saints3102251:27292.284
    11Melbourne Demons2101190:22584.444
    12West Coast Eagles2101183:22581.334
    13GWS Giants3102249:30781.114
    14Geelong Cats2101179:22579.564
    15Carlton Blues2101144:20370.944
    16Brisbane Lions2002166:21577.210
    17Richmond Tigers2002131:20364.530
    18Essendon Bombers2002153:27855.040

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )