Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows
Result
41:131
31/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
521
Behinds
115
Kicks
201226
Handballs
114116
Disposals
315342
Frees For
2422
Frees Against
2224
Clearances Completed
5441
Marks
6183
Tackles
8384
Hitouts
3945

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 33)
  • 00:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:28, McLean H. (G),
  • 05:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 06:01, Rankine I. (G),
  • 08:09, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 11:40, Rachele J. (G),
  • 19:00, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 20:53, Smith B. (G),
  • 28:10, Milera W. (G),
  • 31:17, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (2 - 42)
  • 01:25, Soligo J. (G),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:52, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 17:40, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 22:44, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 26:21, Berry S. (G),
  • 28:01, Rachele J. (G),
  • 29:50, Cumming I. (G),
  • 31:31, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (27 - 37)
  • 00:52, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 02:32, Campbell B. (Behind),
  • 04:47, Hayward W. (G),
  • 06:58, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 11:08, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:54, Walker T. (G),
  • 15:26, McLean H. (G),
  • 17:54, Campbell B. (G),
  • 19:10, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 21:54, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
  • 25:07, Dawson J. (G),
  • 27:22, Rachele J. (G),
  • 31:08, Keays B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (4 - 19)
  • 05:43, Keays B. (G),
  • 10:04, Cumming I. (G),
  • 13:39, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 17:05, Warner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:31, Keays B. (G),
  • 29:04, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
40.7%
Adelaide Crows
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.9)

    1.58
    (1.9)
    7.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1507:1150. (average 94.2:71.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 732:583. (average 91.5:72.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 121:90
    15.06.2024 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 67:109
    19.08.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 73:74
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    7GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    8Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    9Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )