Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
41:39
28/09/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL Women - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
66
Behinds
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 13)
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 13)
  • 3rd Quarter (18 - 7)
  • 4th Quarter (2 - 6)

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
71.3%
Sydney Swans
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.42)

    3.05
    (2.9)
    7.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 85.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • Adelaide is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:15.
    • Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    18.11.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 82:15
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Hawthorn Hawks W (4)42 : 3
    4Adelaide Crows W (6)St Kilda W (7)60 : 16
    5Melbourne Demons W (2)Brisbane Lions W (3)43 : 56
    8Carlton Blues W (5)West Coast Eagles W (8)60 : 19

    Quarter-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Bye
    2Melbourne Demons W (2)Adelaide Crows W (6)60 : 49
    3Brisbane Lions W (3)Bye
    4Hawthorn Hawks W (4)Carlton Blues W (5)33 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Melbourne Demons W (2)46 : 36
    2Brisbane Lions W (3)Carlton Blues W (5)67 : 32

    Final
    1North Melbourne W (1)Brisbane Lions W (3)56 : 16