Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Women Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans
Result
41:39
28/09/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL Women - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
66
Behinds
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 13)
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 13)
  • 3rd Quarter (18 - 7)
  • 4th Quarter (2 - 6)

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
71.3%
Sydney Swans
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.42)

    2.95
    (2.9)
    8.5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 85.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • Adelaide is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:15.
    • Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    18.11.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 82:15
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Women Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1North Melbourne W8800613:186329.5732
    2Melbourne Demons W8701489:176277.8428
    3Hawthorn Hawks W8701258:209123.4428
    4Carlton Blues W8602358:292122.6024
    5Brisbane Lions W8503439:286153.5020
    6West Coast Eagles W8503343:271126.5720
    7Adelaide Crows W8503362:289125.2620
    8St Kilda W8503287:29298.2920
    9Sydney Swans W8404391:362108.0116
    10Western Bulldogs W9306317:315100.6312
    11Geelong Cats W8305327:35991.0912
    12Port Adelaide W8305371:41190.2712
    13Fremantle Dockers W8305252:39463.9612
    14Essendon Bombers W9306275:43163.8112
    15GWS Giants W8206257:40064.258
    16Collingwood Magpies W8206198:34856.908
    17Richmond W8107250:40362.034
    18Gold Coast Suns W8107213:57636.984

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