Result
61:67
20/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WNBL Women - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 9Now, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 36.84% | 46.43% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 27 | 42 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 44.44% | 52.38% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 30% | 28.57% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 83.3% | 52.4% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
Chances of winning
Adelaide Lightning
59.9% | Canberra Capitals
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Canberra Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Capitals than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.64) |
|
2.32 ↑
(2.02) |
7.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 154.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 154.75, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 154.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 154.25, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 155.75, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 155.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 155.25, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 155, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 78.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 154 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 153.75, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 154, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:74.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1553:1542. (average 77.7:77.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 703:638. (average 78.1:70.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Lightning won against Canberra Capitals?
Adelaide Lightning has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra Capitals won against Adelaide Lightning?
Canberra Capitals has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals were as follows:
09.12.2025
Canberra Capitals
-
Adelaide Lightning
76:71
31.10.2025
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
73:65
10.01.2025
Canberra Capitals
-
Adelaide Lightning
91:76
03.01.2025
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
77:88
14.12.2024
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
68:67
Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
Latest results of Canberra Capitals
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Townsville W (1) | Southside W (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Perth Lynx W (2) | Bendigo W (3) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Townsville W (1) | Perth Lynx W (2) | 1 : 0 |
