Result
76:71
09/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WNBL Women - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 61 | 63 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 44.26% | 42.86% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 47.73% | 46.67% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 35.29% | 33.33% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 64% | 73.3% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 45 | 28 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Canberra Capitals
69.6% | Adelaide Lightning
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.5) |
|
3.04 ↑
(2.27) |
8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 152.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:73.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 2.
- Recent performances by Canberra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Adelaide is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Canberra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Canberra is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1539:1556. (average 77:77.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 828:779. (average 82.8:77.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra Capitals won against Adelaide Lightning?
Canberra Capitals has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Lightning won against Canberra Capitals?
Adelaide Lightning has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning were as follows:
31.10.2025
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
73:65
10.01.2025
Canberra Capitals
-
Adelaide Lightning
91:76
03.01.2025
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
77:88
14.12.2024
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
68:67
27.01.2024
Adelaide Lightning
-
Canberra Capitals
84:67
Latest results of Canberra Capitals
Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
Australian WNBL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Perth Lynx W | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1488:1345 | 0.778 |
| 2 | Townsville W | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1553:1302 | 0.778 |
| 3 | Bendigo W | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1295:1173 | 0.765 |
| 4 | Canberra Capitals W | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1159:1257 | 0.438 |
| 5 | Southside W | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1268:1250 | 0.438 |
| 6 | Sydney W | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1449:1599 | 0.316 |
| 7 | Adelaide Lightning W | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1351:1501 | 0.278 |
| 8 | Geelong Venom W | 18 | 4 | 14 | 1340:1476 | 0.222 |
Promotion ~ WNBL Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
