Canberra Capitals vs Adelaide Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian WNBL Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning
Result
91:76
10/01/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: WNBL Women - Round 11

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7170
Field Goals Made
3429
Field Goals %
47.9%41.4%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5050
2-Point Field Goals Made
2724
2-Point Field Goals %
54%48%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2120
3-Point Field Goals Made
75
3-Point Field Goals %
33.3%25%
Free Throws Attempted
1819
Free Throws Made
1613
Free Throws %
88.9%68.4%
Offensive Rebounds
1115
Defensive Rebounds
3027
Total Rebounds
4142
Assists
2018
Blocks
24
Turnovers
1618
Steals
1410
Personal Fouls
1516

Chances of winning


Canberra Capitals
51.4%
Adelaide Lightning
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Adelaide Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.84)

    1.9
    (1.78)
    8.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 156.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

  • Watch this match and Australian WNBL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UNBEATEN
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Canberra won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Canberra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Canberra won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1544:1567 (average 77.2:78.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Canberra won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 825:770 (average 82.5:77).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals 77:88
    14.12.2024 Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals 68:67
    27.01.2024 Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals 84:67
    21.12.2023 Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning 86:73
    05.11.2023 Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning 79:82
    Latest results of Canberra Capitals
    Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bendigo W (1)Sydney W (4)2 : 0
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Townsville W (3)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bendigo W (1)Townsville W (3)2 : 0