Adelaide Lightning vs Sydney Flames – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:65
13/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5468
Field goals made
2322
Field goals %
42.59%32.35%
2-point field goals attempts
2933
2-point field goals made
1214
2-point field goals %
41.38%42.42%
3-point field goals attempts
2535
3-point field goals made
118
3-point field goals %
44%22.86%
Free throws attempts
2216
Free throws made
1913
Free throws %
86.4%81.3%
Offensive rebounds
614
Defensive rebounds
3425
Total rebounds
4039
Assists
1813
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1814
Steals
610
Personal fouls
2218

Chances of winning


Adelaide Lightning
64.8%
Sydney Flames
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 39.2%

Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.43
(1.56)

2.64
(2.28)
7.8%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 159.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -7.5, OT - Sydney (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8, OT - Sydney (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Sydney (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4.
    • Adelaide is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Adelaide is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1497:1367. (average 74.9:68.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 742:599. (average 74.2:59.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning 75:94
    08.11.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames 88:71
    18.01.2025 Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning 84:60
    21.12.2024 Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning 73:86
    20.11.2024 Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames 78:54
    Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
    Latest results of Sydney Flames
    Australian WNBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Townsville W221841869:15840.818
    2Perth Lynx W221751839:16270.773
    3Bendigo W221661696:15740.727
    4Southside W2210121756:17470.455
    5Canberra Capitals W228141577:17220.364
    6Geelong Venom W227151692:17870.318
    7Adelaide Lightning W226161632:18100.273
    8Sydney W226161659:18690.273

          Promotion ~ WNBL Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)