Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:99
17/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Cricket
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Cricket
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Cricket
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Adelaide Strikers
60.1%
Melbourne Renegades
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Strikers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Strikers's performance.
  • Melbourne Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Renegades might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Strikers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Strikers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Renegades could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.81)

    2.35
    (1.98)
    6.4%
    (5.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strikers won 3.
    • Strikers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Renegades has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Renegades may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strikers won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3085:2828. (average 162.4:148.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strikers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1372:1249. (average 171.5:156.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades were as follows:
    02.01.2025 Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers 142:143
    29.12.2023 Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers 178:177
    24.01.2023 Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers 143:142
    10.01.2023 Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades 202:182
    Latest results of Adelaide Strikers
    Latest results of Melbourne Renegades
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)147 : 99
    4Hobart Hurricanes (3)Melbourne Stars (4)114 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers (2)Hobart Hurricanes (3)198 : 141

    Final
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)133 : 132