Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
86:83
13/01/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Cricket
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Cricket
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Cricket
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Melbourne Stars
67.2%
Adelaide Strikers
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Stars's performance.
  • Adelaide Strikers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Strikers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Stars that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Strikers than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Strikers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.69)

    3.33
    (2.14)
    -2.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 328.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stars won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 3067:2994. (average 153.4:149.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stars won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1148:991. (average 143.5:123.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers were as follows:
    23.12.2025 Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars 155:161
    20.12.2024 Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars 165:150
    12.08.2024 Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers 139:138
    31.12.2023 Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars 205:211
    12.01.2023 Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers 109:108
    Latest results of Melbourne Stars
    Latest results of Adelaide Strikers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)147 : 99
    4Hobart Hurricanes (3)Melbourne Stars (4)114 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers (2)Hobart Hurricanes (3)198 : 141

    Final
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)133 : 132