Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 11
  • Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.80
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
74% (300/403)77% (295/381)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.15
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
74% (300/403)77% (295/381)
Long passes
24% (13/54)50% (17/34)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)51% (41/80)
Crosses
13% (2/16)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.42
Throw-ins
1835
Fouls
1710
Tackles
63% (10/16)40% (8/20)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
1.151.91
Goals prevented
1.150.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Condon E. , Dawber C. (A),
  • 50', Taranto A. 🟨,
  • 58', Gomez I. 🟨,
  • 60', Di Sipio I. , Hughes B. ,
  • 61', Healy E. , Hodgson I. ,
  • 62', Hodgson E. 🟨,
  • 72', Prakash A. , Levin T. ,
  • 78', Condon E. , Worts F. ,
  • 89', Thew B. , Farrow M. ,
  • 90+4', Dawber C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
44.6%
Draw
26.1%
Central Coast Mariners
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 20.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 22.9% 18.9%

Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.03
(1.62)
3.47
(4.53)
3.09
(4.56)
10.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Adelaide United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Adelaide United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Central Coast is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Adelaide United could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 3:0
    08.03.2025 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 1:0
    04.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 0:1
    03.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 2:0
    20.10.2023 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W861116:7919
    2Canberra W1053216:9718
    3Central Coast Mariners W1152418:16217
    4Melbourne Victory W1151519:15416
    5Perth W1050512:16-415
    6Brisbane Roar W841314:14013
    7Newcastle W1041512:14-213
    8Wellington Phoenix W933316:8812
    9Adelaide W93249:11-211
    10Sydney W102446:14-810
    11WS Wanderers W101278:22-145

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)