Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 11
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (300/403) | 77% (295/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (300/403) | 77% (295/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (13/54) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Condon E. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
- 50', Taranto A. 🟨,
- 58', Gomez I. 🟨,
- 60', Di Sipio I. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
- 61', Healy E. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 62', Hodgson E. 🟨,
- 72', Prakash A. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 78', Condon E. ↓, Worts F. ↑,
- 89', Thew B. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 90+4', Dawber C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United 44.6% | Draw 26.1% | Central Coast Mariners 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↑ (1.62) |
3.47 ↓ (4.53) |
3.09 ↓ (4.56) |
10.5% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Adelaide United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In recent matches, Adelaide United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Central Coast is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Adelaide United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
01.11.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
3:0
08.03.2025
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:0
04.01.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
0:1
03.03.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
2:0
20.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Central Coast Mariners W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Perth W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 15 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Newcastle W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Adelaide W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)