Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 11
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (300/403) | 77% (295/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (300/403) | 77% (295/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (13/54) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Condon E. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
- 50', Taranto A. 🟨,
- 58', Gomez I. 🟨,
- 60', Di Sipio I. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
- 61', Healy E. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 62', Hodgson E. 🟨,
- 72', Prakash A. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 78', Condon E. ↓, Worts F. ↑,
- 89', Thew B. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 90+4', Dawber C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
44.6% | Draw
26.1% | Central Coast Mariners
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Coast Mariners's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.62) |
3.47 ↓
(4.53) |
3.09 ↓
(4.56) |
10.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Adelaide United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Adelaide United (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In recent matches, Adelaide United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Central Coast is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Adelaide United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
01.11.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
3:0
08.03.2025
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:0
04.01.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
0:1
03.03.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
2:0
20.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
