Admira vs Austria Lustenau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 8
  • Referee: Semler J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
77
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Delaye S. , Wade M. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Schmidt A. , Horvat M. (A),
  • 44', Gmeiner F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Meisl M. 🟨,
  • 57', Murgas J. , Feiner F. ,
  • 72', Horvat M. 🟨,
  • 74', Ibertsberger L. 🟨,
  • 74', Bouchenna M. , Ismailcebioglu H. ,
  • 75', Ristanic F. , Schabauer M. ,
  • 75', Forst J. , Olsa C. ,
  • 82', Diarra S. , Ouattara I. ,
  • 82', Ibertsberger L. , Rouquette A. ,
  • 83', Holzhacker F. , Wagner M. ,
  • 87', Feiner F. 🟨,
  • 90', Delaye S. , Maak M. ,
  • 90', Lahne J. , Akbulut M. ,

Chances of winning


Admira
41.1%
Draw
29.4%
Austria Lustenau
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 26.9% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.1% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Admira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Admira's form might have worsened.
  • Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Admira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Admira - Austria Lustenau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.99)
    3.19
    (3.5)
    3.18
    (3.62)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Admira - Austria Lustenau?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Admira will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Admira: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Admira (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 6).
    • Admira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austria Lustenau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Austria Lustenau has had a series of home games.
    • Admira could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Admira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Admira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Admira - Austria Lustenau were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Austria Lustenau - Admira 0:1
    27.09.2024 Admira - Austria Lustenau 0:0
    27.08.2024 Admira - Austria Lustenau 1:3
    Latest results of Admira
    19.09.2025 Rapid Wien II - Admira 2:2
    13.09.2025 Admira - Bregenz 2:2
    26.08.2025 ASK Voitsberg - Admira 1:4
    22.08.2025 Admira - SPG Wels 1:0
    Latest results of Austria Lustenau
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira20108246:212538
    2Floridsdorfer AC20115429:111838
    3A. Lustenau19114424:16837
    4Amstetten2098333:231035
    5St. Polten19112635:221335
    6Austria Vienna (Am)20103725:25033
    7Liefering2087530:31-131
    8A. Salzburg2075826:29-326
    9First Vienna1965821:21023
    10Hertha Wels20551020:27-720
    11SK Rapid II20551023:33-1020
    12Kapfenberg19531123:39-1618
    13A. Klagenfurt1955922:31-917
    14Sturm Graz II19351117:32-1514
    15Bregenz20281025:38-1311
    16Stripfing00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Relegation