Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 84% (27/32) | 67% (16/24) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 35% (7/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 16% (5/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 33% (5/15) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 0% (0/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (35/45) | 52% (23/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 22% (10/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (56/89) | 37% (33/89) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Mannarino
35.7% | Alexander Bublik
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.74) |
|
1.56 ↑
(1.45) |
1.2%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Bublik will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 38.6% – 78%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Adrian Mannarino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mannarino is ranked ATP: 60. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.
- In recent matches, Mannarino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bublik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bublik will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Alexander Bublik?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Adrian Mannarino?
Alexander Bublik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (Q) | Zhang Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Khachanov K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Bu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Goffin D. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shang J. (WC) | Cazaux A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Mensik J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (6) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tien L. | Cerundolo F. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Mannarino A. (Q) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Musetti L. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (8) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sonego L. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. | Mensik J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Musetti L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (8) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Minaur A. (3) | Mensik J. (RET.) (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Musetti L. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
