Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik
25/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
38.5%
Alexander Bublik
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 68.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Bublik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.74)

    1.56
    (1.45)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53. Bublik is ranked ATP: 19.
    • In recent matches, Mannarino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bublik is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bublik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)
    6Goffin D. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2