Result
3:0
02/09/2026 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Germany | Laola1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 91% (41/45) | 49% (19/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 47% (14/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/1 | 8/14 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 187 km/h | 170 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 154 km/h | 141 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 13% (6/45) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (8/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/14 | 0/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 33% (4/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (50/62) | 50% (32/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 19% (12/62) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (82/126) | 35% (44/126) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 45% (5/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 0% (0/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 22% (5/23) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
|---|
| 1144 | 1255 |
Chances of winning
Alexander Bublik
74.6% | Adrian Mannarino
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↑
(1.24) |
|
3.72 ↓
(3.99) |
4.9%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 37.00
What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino?
Users Predictions:
Alexander Bublik will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Bublik is ranked ATP: 16. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 67.
- Bublik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mannarino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Adrian Mannarino?
Alexander Bublik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Alexander Bublik?
Adrian Mannarino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino were as follows:
26.09.2025
Adrian Mannarino
-
Alexander Bublik
2:0
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Sonego L. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Halys Q. | Diaz Acosta F. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (Q) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Hanfmann Y. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (21) | Wendelken H. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Royer V. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Sweeny D. (WC) | Moutet C. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fery A. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Jodar R. (12) | Bu Y. (LL) | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Zheng M. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Svajda Z. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Cerundolo J. M. | Gea A. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Bergs Z. (31) | Taberner C. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Passaro F. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Choinski J. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Molcan A. | Bonzi B. | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Giron M. | Buse I. (32) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (17) | Mochizuki S. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Rodionov J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 0 |
| 23 | Vallejo D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Borges N. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (9) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bellucci M. | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Misolic F. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Blockx A. (28) | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Shang J. | Trungelliti M. | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Comesana F. | Cobolli F. (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gaston H. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Gorzny S. (WC) | Collignon R. | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Atmane T. | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Shimabukuro S. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Vacherot V. (22) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Majchrzak K. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Vukic A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Damm M. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Nakashima B. (16) | Baez S. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Michelsen A. | Cina F. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Merida Aguilar D. | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Virtanen O. (LL) | Rublev A. (23) | 2 : 3 |
| 45 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 46 | Landaluce M. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Navone M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Griekspoor T. | 3 : 1 |
| 50 | Dzumhur D. | Hurkacz H. | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Kecmanovic M. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 3 |
| 52 | van Assche L. | Norrie C. (29) | 3 : 1 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (18) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Samuel T. (Q) | Machac T. | 3 : 0 |
| 55 | Harris L. (Q) | Kennedy J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | Tsitsipas S. | Fils A. (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 57 | Bublik A. (15) | Wolf J.J. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Tirante T. A. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Prizmic D. | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 2 |
| 60 | Wong C. (Q) | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 61 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Duckworth J. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Wu Y. | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 63 | Faria J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Safiullin R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Halys Q. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (21) | Svrcina D. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Sweeny D. | Musetti L. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Bu Y. | Zheng M. | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Svajda Z. | Gea A. | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. (31) | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Khachanov K. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Buse I. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (17) | Rodionov J. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (9) | Bellucci M. | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Blockx A. (28) | Trungelliti M. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Schoolkate T. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gorzny S. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Vacherot V. (22) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Sakamoto R. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Nakashima B. (16) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 3 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Rublev A. (23) | 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Hurkacz H. | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Shapovalov D. | van Assche L. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (18) | Samuel T. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Harris L. | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (15) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Prizmic D. | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Duckworth J. | Wu Y. | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Faria J. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Tabilo A. (25) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Darderi L. (21) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Gea A. | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bergs Z. (31) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (17) | Tien L. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Fritz T. (9) | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Blockx A. (28) | Cobolli F. (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Vacherot V. (22) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Merida Aguilar D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Shapovalov D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Lehecka J. (18) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Bublik A. (15) | Paul T. (20) | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Wu Y. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Darderi L. (21) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Gea A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. | Tien L. (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (24) | Blockx A. (28) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (7) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Paul T. (20) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | |
| 2 | Khachanov K. | Blockx A. (28) | |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (11) | Michelsen A. | |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
