Adrian Mannarino vs Antoine Ghibaudo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Men Adrian Mannarino - Antoine Ghibaudo
Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
55%55%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (19/32)58% (18/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)24% (6/25)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)13% (1/8)
1st Return Points Won
42% (13/31)41% (13/32)
2nd Return Points Won
76% (19/25)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
88% (7/8)57% (4/7)
Winners
1315
Unforced Errors
2639
Net Points Won
57% (4/7)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
57% (33/58)43% (24/56)
Return Points Won
57% (32/56)43% (25/58)
Total Points Won
57% (65/114)43% (49/114)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)30% (3/10)
Return Games Won
70% (7/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
79.4%
Antoine Ghibaudo
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.
  • Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoine Ghibaudo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-30.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+30.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antoine Ghibaudo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adrian Mannarino - Antoine Ghibaudo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.84)

    4.74
    (1.85)
    -2.1%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 123. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 601.
    • Mannarino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ghibaudo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Antoine Ghibaudo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Cassone M.2 : 0
    2Vandecasteele Q. (Q)Svajda Z.0 : 2
    3Poling K. (Alt)Weightman O. (Q)1 : 2
    4Jasika O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Bolt A.2 : 0
    6McCabe J.Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Martin D. (Alt)Mayo A.1 : 2
    8Zhu E. (WC)Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    9Eubanks C. (6)Milavsky D. (WC)2 : 1
    10Zheng M. (WC)Tomic B.0 : 2
    11Hilderbrand T. (Q)Zink T.1 : 2
    12Uchiyama Y.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    13Krueger M. (7)Kozlov S. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Kypson P.Ghibaudo A. (Q)0 : 2
    15McCormick T. (Q)Watt J. (LL)0 : 2
    16Maloney P.Duckworth J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Svajda Z.1 : 2
    2Weightman O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Mayo A.Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    5Eubanks C. (6)Tomic B.0 : 2
    6Zink T.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    7Krueger M. (7)Ghibaudo A.1 : 2
    8Watt J.Maloney P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Svajda Z.Watanuki Y. (8)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Spizzirri E. (5)1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Mannarino A. (4)1 : 2
    4Ghibaudo A.Watt J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Svajda Z.Spizzirri E. (5)2 : 0
    2Mannarino A. (4)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Svajda Z.Mannarino A. (4)2 : 0