Adrian Mannarino vs Corentin Denolly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Houston Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly
Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
113
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
54%69%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (48/61)69% (61/89)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (25/52)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)84% (16/19)
1st Return Points Won
31% (28/89)21% (13/61)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (22/40)52% (27/52)
Break Points Converted
16% (3/19)75% (3/4)
Winners
3842
Unforced Errors
4847
Net Points Won
75% (9/12)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
65% (73/113)61% (79/129)
Return Points Won
39% (50/129)35% (40/113)
Total Points Won
51% (123/242)49% (119/242)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
58.8%
Corentin Denolly
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.51)

    2.29
    (2.59)
    6.1%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Denolly will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 145. Denolly is ranked ATP: 327.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Denolly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mannarino will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0