Adrian Mannarino vs Gonzalo Bueno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Zagreb Challenger Men Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno
Result
1:2
12/05/2025 at 10:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
60%72%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (33/64)59% (44/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (18/43)45% (13/29)
Break Points Saved
47% (7/15)78% (14/18)
1st Return Points Won
41% (30/74)48% (31/64)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (16/29)58% (25/43)
Break Points Converted
22% (4/18)53% (8/15)
Winners
3537
Unforced Errors
5441
Net Points Won
70% (23/33)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
48% (51/107)55% (57/103)
Return Points Won
45% (46/103)52% (56/107)
Total Points Won
46% (97/210)54% (113/210)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
47% (7/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)53% (8/15)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
43.4%
Gonzalo Bueno
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 68.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.
  • Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.62)

    1.66
    (1.45)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 126. Bueno is ranked ATP: 327.
    • Mannarino has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bueno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Gonzalo Bueno
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mannarino A. (1)Bueno G. (Alt)1 : 2
    2Onclin G.Pavlovic L. (Q)1 : 2
    3Poljicak M. (Alt)Fatic N. (Q)2 : 1
    4Dodig M. (WC)Popko D. (6)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D. (3)van Assche L.0 : 2
    6Kuzmanov D. (Q)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    7Gombos N. (Q)Coppejans K. (PR)0 : 2
    8Houkes M. (Alt)Misolic F. (8)0 : 2
    9Ajdukovic D. (7)Mena F.0 : 2
    10Trungelliti M.Oberleitner N. (Q)2 : 1
    11Svajda Z.Karol M. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    12Rodionov J.Mayot H. (4)1 : 2
    13Jacquet K. (5)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Mikrut L. (WC)Ruusuvuori E.1 : 2
    16Zhukayev B. (RET.)Kym J. (2)0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bueno G.Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    2Poljicak M.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    3van Assche L.Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    4Coppejans K.Misolic F. (8)1 : 2
    5Mena F.Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    6Karol M.Mayot H. (4)0 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (5)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    8Ruusuvuori E.Kym J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Poljicak M.2 : 0
    2van Assche L.Misolic F. (8)2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M.Mayot H. (4)2 : 0
    4Prizmic D.Kym J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.van Assche L.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M.Prizmic D.1 : 2

    Final
    1van Assche L. (RET.)Prizmic D.0 : 1