Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong
Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
54%56%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (25/34)65% (24/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)41% (12/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (13/37)26% (9/34)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (17/29)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)33% (2/6)
Winners
1920
Unforced Errors
912
Net Points Won
0% (0/6)26% (6/23)
Service Points Won
63% (40/63)55% (36/66)
Return Points Won
45% (30/66)37% (23/63)
Total Points Won
54% (70/129)46% (59/129)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
59.9%
Jesper De Jong
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.52)

    2.35
    (2.3)
    6.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jesper De Jong will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mannarino could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0