Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (36/46) | 84% (38/45) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 45% (9/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 16% (7/45) | 22% (10/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 41 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (50/73) | 72% (47/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (18/65) | 32% (23/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (68/138) | 51% (70/138) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 50% (13/26) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Mannarino
42% | Martin Damm
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.21) |
|
1.65
(1.65) |
5%
(6%) | |
What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Damm will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 54.4% – 89.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Damm (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Damm (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Games - Damm (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 6 - 30%). Damm (votes: 14 - 70%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70. Damm is ranked ATP: 160.
- Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Damm is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Damm could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Damm will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Martin Damm?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Martin Damm won against Adrian Mannarino?
Martin Damm has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Latest results of Martin Damm
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vavassori A. (Q) | Blanchet U. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Royer V. | Fils A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. | Carreno-Busta P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kouame M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Gea A. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Hurkacz H. (7) | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Basilashvili N. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Blanchet U. | Fils A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kovacevic A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Humbert U. (5) | Mannarino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Gea A. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Damm M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Fils A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mannarino A. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Damm M. | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Damm M. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
