Adrian Mannarino vs Naoki Nakagawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Houston Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
411
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
62%57%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (37/50)79% (37/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
26% (12/47)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (20/36)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)14% (1/7)
Winners
1727
Unforced Errors
2844
Net Points Won
50% (1/2)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
68% (55/81)61% (51/83)
Return Points Won
39% (32/83)32% (26/81)
Total Points Won
53% (87/164)47% (77/164)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
68.9%
Naoki Nakagawa
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.31)

    3
    (3.38)
    7.3%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa?
  • Users Predictions: Naoki Nakagawa will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 145. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 362.
    • Mannarino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nakagawa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mannarino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mannarino is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0