Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 45% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 63% (22/35) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 30% (13/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 43% (23/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 45% (35/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 45% (33/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (83/151) | 45% (68/151) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 42% (10/24) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Mannarino
46.8% | Nicolas Mejia
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.68) |
|
1.77 ↓
(2.07) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia?
Users Predictions:
Nicolas Mejia will win
(41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.06% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nicolas Mejia will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mannarino is ranked ATP: 134. Mejia is ranked ATP: 256.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Mejia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Nicolas Mejia?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Mejia won against Adrian Mannarino?
Nicolas Mejia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Alves M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rodriguez Taverna S. | Varillas J. P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (Alt) | Napolitano S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Galarneau A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mannarino A. (3) | Mayo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Mejia N. | Cressy M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Sakamoto P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Tomic B. | Paris T. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Ficovich J. P. (5) | Perez A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Aguilar J. C. M. (Q) | Martin A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Alujas R. (WC) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Zhukayev B. | Meligeni Alves F. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Huesler M. (7) | Zahraj P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Janvier M. | Oberleitner N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Soto M. | Neuchrist M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Dougaz A. | Tirante T. A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Varillas J. P. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mannarino A. (3) | Mejia N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hernandez A. | Tomic B. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Perez A. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Blanch Dar. | Meligeni Alves F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Huesler M. (7) | Oberleitner N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Soto M. | Dougaz A. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Varillas J. P. | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. (3) | Tomic B. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Perez A. | Meligeni Alves F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Huesler M. (7) | Dougaz A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pavlovic L. | Mannarino A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Meligeni Alves F. (4) | Huesler M. (7) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Pavlovic L. | Meligeni Alves F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
