Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (22/30) | 70% (26/37) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 71% (15/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 30% (9/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 56% (14/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 90% (9/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 70% (40/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (17/57) | 40% (22/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (50/112) | 55% (62/112) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Mannarino
54.1% | Sho Shimabukuro
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.3) |
|
2.06 ↓
(3.48) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Games - Shimabukuro (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Mannarino (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sho Shimabukuro will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 2 - 20%). Shimabukuro (votes: 8 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mannarino is ranked ATP: 51. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 130.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mannarino could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Adrian Mannarino?
Sho Shimabukuro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Sho Shimabukuro were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (WC) | Norrie C. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Duckworth J. | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. (WC) | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Hijikata R. (LL) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Altmaier D. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Vacherot V. (6) | Wong C. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Dzumhur D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. | Ymer E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Kypson P. (Q) | De Minaur A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Wu Y. | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vacherot V. (6) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. | Kypson P. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wu Y. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (6) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cobolli F. (5) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
