Adrien Gobat vs Arthur Nagel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lannion, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Adrien Gobat
44.6%
Arthur Nagel
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrien Gobat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrien Gobat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Nagel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.99)

    1.67
    (1.69)
    8%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gobat is ranked ATP: 751. Nagel is ranked ATP: 533.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gobat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel were as follows:
    23.01.2026 Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel 0:2
    13.09.2023 Adrien Gobat - Arthur Nagel 2:0
    Latest results of Adrien Gobat
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    18.02.2026 Octave Caillat - Arthur Nagel Caillat O. retired
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Fomba L.2 : 1
    2Ambarzumjan E.Raquillet L.0 : 2
    3Andres R.Ponchet M.0 : 2
    4Lagarrigue F.Ghazouani Durand Y. (6)1 : 2
    5Catry R. (3)Ifi N.2 : 0
    6Witz A.Funk A.2 : 1
    7Gerbaud T.Jade D.2 : 1
    8Lagarrigue L.Bittoun C. (5)2 : 0
    9Bertimon M. (7)Livet Novkirichka F.2 : 1
    10Trochu P.Abbas A.2 : 0
    11Gautier A.Freire Da Silva A.2 : 1
    12Larue L.Colson T. (4)0 : 2
    13Gobat A. (8)Walters M.2 : 0
    14Lalami Laaroussi Y.Zeuch T.1 : 2
    15Trufelli T.Barrere V.0 : 2
    16Caillat O. (RET.)Nagel A. (2)0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Raquillet L.2 : 0
    2Ponchet M.Ghazouani Durand Y. (6)0 : 2
    3Catry R. (3)Witz A.2 : 0
    4Gerbaud T.Lagarrigue L.0 : 2
    5Bertimon M. (7)Trochu P.2 : 1
    6Gautier A.Colson T. (4)0 : 2
    7Gobat A. (8)Zeuch T.2 : 0
    8Barrere V.Nagel A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Ghazouani Durand Y. (6)1 : 2
    2Catry R. (3)Lagarrigue L.2 : 0
    3Bertimon M. (7)Colson T. (4)0 : 2
    4Gobat A. (8)Nagel A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ghazouani Durand Y. (6)Catry R. (3)0 : 2
    2Colson T. (4)Gobat A. (8)2 : 1

    Final
    1Catry R. (3)Colson T. (4)2 : 0