Juan Pablo II College vs ADT Tarma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
79% (284/361)83% (359/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.86
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
79% (284/361)83% (359/432)
Long passes
54% (34/63)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
64% (75/117)66% (75/113)
Crosses
25% (6/24)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.65
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1010
Tackles
76% (16/21)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.860.57
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 13', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 39', Dulanto G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Moyano A. , Robles A. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Rojas A. , Villar E. (A),
  • 60', Pinto O. , Da Luz M. ,
  • 60', Montenegro D. , Barreto G. ,
  • 60', Gutierrez A. , Cabello C. ,
  • 67', Fernandez R. , Canova J. ,
  • 70', Perez A. 🟥,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Bazan N. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 79', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Rojas J. , Bersano F. ,
  • 85', Toledo J. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Rojas A. , Rasmussen M. ,

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo II College
43.2%
Draw
30.7%
ADT Tarma
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 26.6% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 26.3% 18.4%

Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.18
(1.7)
3.07
(3.5)
3.58
(5)
6.2%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). ADT will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - ADT (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - ADT (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Agurto F. (Injury) Fernandez F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    11.05.2025 ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College 2:2
    Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    22.09.2025 Cusco - ADT Tarma 0:2
    16.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 3:1
    31.08.2025 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FBC Melgar11002:023
    2U. de Deportes11002:023
    3Cajamarca11002:023
    4Alianza Lima11002:113
    5Alianza Atl11001:013
    6Comerciantes Unidos11001:013
    7Juan Pablo II10103:301
    8FC Cajamarca10103:301
    9Sport Boys10101:101
    10Sporting Cristal10101:101
    11Los Chankas10101:101
    12Deportivo Garcilaso10101:101
    13Sport Huancayo10011:2-10
    14Cusco10010:1-10
    15Moquegua10010:1-10
    16Cienciano10010:2-20
    17Grau10010:2-20
    18AD Tarma10010:2-20

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