Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/361) | 83% (359/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/361) | 83% (359/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/117) | 66% (75/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Moyano A. 🟨,
- 13', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 39', Dulanto G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Villar E. (A),
- 60', Pinto O. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑,
- 60', Montenegro D. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
- 60', Gutierrez A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez R. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
- 70', Perez A. 🟥,
- 76', 1 - 1, Bazan N. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 79', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 83', Rojas J. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 85', Toledo J. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 86', Rojas A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juan Pablo II College
43.2% | Draw
30.7% | ADT Tarma
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.7) |
3.02 ↓
(3.5) |
3.43 ↓
(5) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). ADT will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Agurto F.
(Injury)
Fernandez F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against ADT Tarma?
Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Juan Pablo II College?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma were as follows:
11.05.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Juan Pablo II College
2:2
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
