ADT Tarma vs Juan Pablo II College – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
08/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.261.89
Ball possession
72%28%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
94
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
122
Passes
83% (323/389)67% (111/165)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.261.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.422.30
Total shots
259
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
115
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
184
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
11
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
378
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free kicks
106
Passes
83% (323/389)67% (111/165)
Long passes
53% (25/47)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
73% (109/149)63% (40/63)
Crosses
24% (10/41)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.88
Throw ins
2413
Fouls
610
Tackles
76% (13/17)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4628
Clearances
1053
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
2.302.42
Goals prevented
-0.700.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Juambeltz M. , Alaniz M. (A),
  • 31', Gutierrez A. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Ramirez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Guivin Tanta J. , Mazzo A. ,
  • 46', Cabello C. , Rengifo H. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Bauman J. ,
  • 57', Ramirez N. , Cueva C. ,
  • 57', Espinoza A. , Anton P. ,
  • 59', Narvaez J. 🟨,
  • 59', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
  • 63', Bauman J. 🟨,
  • 63', Fuentes P. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Rojas J. , Benites Vargas L. E. (A),
  • 74', Duran J. , Ramirez E. ,
  • 74', Rojas J. , Garcia E. ,
  • 82', Juambeltz M. , Garcia C. ,
  • 82', Peralta M. , Iriarte I. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Fuentes P. ,
  • 90+1', Biojo R. , Garcia S. ,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
62.9%
Draw
22.4%
Juan Pablo II College
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22.4% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 20.1% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.54)
    4.09
    (4.17)
    6.33
    (5.5)
    8.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma 1:1
    11.05.2025 ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College 2:2
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Lima1292122:51729
    2Los Chankas1292121:14729
    3Cienciano1272326:161023
    4U. de Deportes1263318:12621
    5Comerciantes Unidos1254317:15219
    6Cusco1261515:19-419
    7FBC Melgar1252518:16217
    8Cajamarca1244418:18016
    9Moquegua1251614:18-416
    10Juan Pablo II1243518:27-915
    11Sporting Cristal1242620:20014
    12Alianza Atl1235411:11014
    13AD Tarma1234515:15013
    14Deportivo Garcilaso1234512:16-413
    15Sport Huancayo1233614:18-412
    16Sport Boys1233611:16-512
    17Grau122469:14-510
    18FC Cajamarca1213813:22-96

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