Ajax vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Ajax - AEK Athens
Result
3:1
14/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Urheilu
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Ajax
56.1%
Draw
22.9%
AEK Athens
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 25.9% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ajax - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.98)
    4.16
    (3.79)
    4.55
    (3.52)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (47 of 54 users predict this - 87.04%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.08%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently AEK have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ajax is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Red Card) Godts M. (Hip Injury) Gorter J. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) Pasveer R. (Knee Injury) van den Boomen B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gacinovic M. (Red Card) Garcia L. (Injury) Jonsson J. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - AEK Athens were as follows:
    05.10.2023 AEK Athens - Ajax 1:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    09.12.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    06.12.2023 Waalwijk - Ajax Abandoned
    03.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    30.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:3
    25.11.2023 Ajax - Vitesse 5:0
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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