Ajax vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Ajax - AEK Athens
Result
3:1
14/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Urheilu
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Ajax
56.1%
Draw
22.9%
AEK Athens
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 25.9% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ajax - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.98)
    4.16
    (3.79)
    4.55
    (3.52)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (47 of 54 users predict this - 87.04%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.08%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently AEK have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ajax is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Red Card) Godts M. (Hip Injury) Gorter J. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) Pasveer R. (Knee Injury) van den Boomen B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gacinovic M. (Red Card) Garcia L. (Injury) Jonsson J. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - AEK Athens were as follows:
    05.10.2023 AEK Athens - Ajax 1:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    09.12.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    06.12.2023 Waalwijk - Ajax Abandoned
    03.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    30.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:3
    25.11.2023 Ajax - Vitesse 5:0
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 0
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 0
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ByeTBD #10
    6TBD #11Bye
    7ByeTBD #14